1. FC Heidenheim v Energie Cottbus match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Heidenheim are favoured at home against Cottbus in the third tier, with a 55% chance of victory according to the model. The hosts have recently shown more stability with two wins in their last five games, while Cottbus have struggled with two defeats in the same run.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 55%1. FC Heidenheim win
- 23%Draw
- 22%Energie Cottbus win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Last 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- 1. FC Heidenheim won 14 of 21 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- 2. Bundesliga, since 23 Feb 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 78 of 105.
Home and away
1. FC Heidenheim at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- Drawn1. FC Kaiserslautern9 Oct 20260–0
- WonHolstein Kiel13 Sep 20261–0
- WonDynamo Dresden29 Aug 20265–3
- WonVfL Osnabrück8 Aug 20264–3
- LostFSV Mainz 05Bundesliga16 May 20260–2
1. FC Heidenheim: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 23 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Energie Cottbus away
Last 4: 1 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostSV Darmstadt 9810 Oct 20261–3
- WonKarlsruher SC13 Sep 20263–0
- DrawnVfL Wolfsburg5 Sep 20264–4
- LostArminia Bielefeld16 Aug 20260–3
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 7 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Karlsruher SC · 2. Bundesliga
- Last match
- 8 days before16 Oct 2026 · v 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 6 days after30 Oct 2026 · v VfL Bochum · 2. Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 27 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
1. FC Heidenheim
| Score | 1. FC Heidenheim | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 14 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 300 won, 100 drawn, 61 lost in 461 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 8 drawn, 39 lost in 50 matches | 61 won, 100 drawn, 300 lost in 461 matches |
| Level at half-time | 4 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 22 matches | 132 won, 132 drawn, 132 lost in 396 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 3 won, 1 drawn, 16 lost in 20 matches | 25 won, 49 drawn, 128 lost in 202 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 4 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches | 103 won, 134 drawn, 103 lost in 340 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 4 drawn, 14 lost in 20 matches | 11 won, 52 drawn, 136 lost in 199 matches |
| 2+ goals down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 1 drawn, 19 lost in 20 matches | 0 won, 6 drawn, 111 lost in 117 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches | 78 won, 138 drawn, 78 lost in 294 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 1 won, 2 drawn, 18 lost in 21 matches | 8 won, 51 drawn, 147 lost in 206 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches | 44 won, 166 drawn, 44 lost in 254 matches |
| 2+ goals down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 0 drawn, 22 lost in 22 matches | 0 won, 3 drawn, 145 lost in 148 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 10 won, 11 drawn, 29 lost in 50 matches | 235 won, 196 drawn, 235 lost in 666 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 7 won, 11 drawn, 18 lost in 36 matches | 180 won, 172 drawn, 180 lost in 532 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 1 won, 2 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches | 29 won, 36 drawn, 112 lost in 177 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | 1. FC Heidenheim | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 28 scored, 31 conceded (74) | 330 scored, 330 conceded (972) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 8 conceded (22) | 88 scored, 88 conceded (282) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 19 conceded (40) | 124 scored, 118 conceded (345) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 57 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 21(league sides: 554 times, within 15 minutes 105, by full time 272)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: 1. FC Heidenheim and Energie Cottbus
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 24 Oct 2026, 10:57 BST · not changed since
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