1. FC Köln v Union Berlin match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
1. FC Köln hosts Union Berlin in a Bundesliga match where the model gives the home side a 41% chance of winning, Union 34%, and a draw 25%. Expected goals total 3.11, with Köln favoured by a margin of 0.15. Köln show mixed recent form (DLWLD), while Union's recent record is DDWLL; their most recent head-to-head ended 2-2.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%1. FC Köln win
- 25%Draw
- 34%Union Berlin win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
1. FC KölnLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Union BerlinLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- 1. FC Köln avoided defeat in 9 of 24 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 24 Aug 2025.
- Union Berlin won 14 of 22 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- Union Berlin won 4 of the last 8 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of 1. FC Köln's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
8 meetings: 1. FC Köln 1, draws 3, Union Berlin 4
Goals: 1. FC Köln 7, Union Berlin 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Union Berlin v 1. FC KölnBundesliga | 2–2 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 1. FC Köln v Union BerlinBundesliga | 0–1 |
| 11 May 2024 | 1. FC Köln v Union BerlinBundesliga | 3–2 |
| 20 Dec 2023 | Union Berlin v 1. FC KölnBundesliga | 2–0 |
| 4 Mar 2023 | Union Berlin v 1. FC KölnBundesliga | 0–0 |
| 11 Sep 2022 | 1. FC Köln v Union BerlinBundesliga | 0–1 |
| 1 Apr 2022 | Union Berlin v 1. FC KölnBundesliga | 1–0 |
| 7 Nov 2021 | 1. FC Köln v Union BerlinBundesliga | 2–2 |
Home and away
1. FC Köln1. FC Köln at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnFC Schalke 04Bundesliga24 Oct 20260–0
- WonBorussia MönchengladbachBundesliga11 Oct 20262–1
- DrawnWerder BremenBundesliga12 Sep 20261–1
- Won1899 HoffenheimBundesliga29 Aug 20263–2
- Lost1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga10 May 20261–3
1. FC Köln: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 9 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Union BerlinUnion Berlin away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnFC AugsburgBundesliga24 Oct 20261–1
- LostBayern MünchenBundesliga18 Sep 20260–7
- LostBayer LeverkusenBundesliga5 Sep 20260–4
- WonEintracht Braunschweig23 Aug 20264–2
- WonFSV Mainz 05Bundesliga10 May 20263–1
Union Berlin: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 27 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
1. FC Köln- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Union Berlin · Bundesliga
Union Berlin- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 5 days after1 Nov 2026 · v 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
1. FC Köln
Since 24 Aug 2025
| Score | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|
| Conceded first | 2 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost in 24 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 8 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 30 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 2 won, 8 drawn, 13 lost in 23 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 14 conceded (41) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 15 scored, 7 conceded (21) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Union Berlin
Since 2 Nov 2024
| Score | Union Berlin |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 14 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost in 22 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 10 drawn, 26 lost in 39 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 13 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches |
| 2+ goals down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 0 drawn, 20 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 6 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches |
| 2+ goals down after 70 minutes | 0 won, 3 drawn, 20 lost in 23 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 13 won, 17 drawn, 19 lost in 49 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 9 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 35 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Union Berlin |
|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 22 conceded (67) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 3 conceded (20) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 14 conceded (35) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 15Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: 1. FC Köln and Union Berlin
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 27 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since
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