Aberdeen v Hibernian · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Hibernian win
Aberdeen host Hibernian in a tight contest where the model gives Hibernian a 37% chance of victory, Aberdeen 34%, and a draw 29%. Expected goals total 2.52 with a gap of 0.08 in Hibernian's favour. Aberdeen have mixed recent form with one win and two losses, while Hibernian have struggled with four defeats in five matches, though their head-to-head record shows competitive meetings.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 34%Aberdeen win
- 29%Draw
- 37%Hibernian win
PRO analysis
This analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- lost0–1v Falkirk
- lost2–3at Dundee Utd
- won3–1v ST Mirren
- lost0–1v ST Johnstone
- drew1–1at Hibernian
Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
- drew1–1at ST Mirren
- lost1–2v Celtic
- lost1–2v Falkirk
- lost0–1at Dundee Utd
- drew1–1v Aberdeen
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Aberdeen won 17 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- Hibernian won 28 of 42 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- Hibernian won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Aberdeen's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Aberdeen 3, draws 3, Hibernian 4
Goals: Aberdeen 15, Hibernian 15
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Hibernian v Aberdeen | 1–1 |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Aberdeen v Hibernian | 2–0 |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Hibernian v Aberdeen | 2–0 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Aberdeen v Hibernian | 1–2 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Aberdeen v Hibernian | 1–0 |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Hibernian v Aberdeen | 2–0 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Aberdeen v Hibernian | 1–3 |
| 26 Nov 2024 | Hibernian v Aberdeen | 3–3 |
| 12 May 2024 | Hibernian v Aberdeen | 0–4 |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Aberdeen v Hibernian | 2–2 |
Home and away
Aberdeen at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostFalkirk28 Oct 20260–1
- WonST Mirren17 Oct 20263–1
- LostST Johnstone11 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnKilmarnock5 Sep 20260–0
- LostRangers30 Aug 20260–1
Aberdeen: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 7 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 2 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Hibernian away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnST Mirren28 Oct 20261–1
- LostDundee Utd10 Oct 20260–1
- LostST Johnstone6 Sep 20261–2
- WonDundee30 Aug 20262–1
- DrawnGentUEFA Europa Conference League20 Aug 20260–0
Hibernian: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Rangers · League Cup
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Kilmarnock · Premiership
- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Heart Of Midlothian · League Cup
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Dundee Utd · Premiership
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Aberdeen
| Score | Aberdeen | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 17 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost in 26 matches | 494 won, 147 drawn, 86 lost in 727 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 6 drawn, 39 lost in 48 matches | 86 won, 147 drawn, 494 lost in 727 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 8 drawn, 12 lost in 26 matches | 164 won, 212 drawn, 164 lost in 540 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 2 won, 4 drawn, 22 lost in 28 matches | 47 won, 76 drawn, 241 lost in 364 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 4 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 25 matches | 141 won, 204 drawn, 141 lost in 486 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 1 drawn, 18 lost in 21 matches | 25 won, 77 drawn, 235 lost in 337 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 13 drawn, 9 lost in 26 matches | 121 won, 234 drawn, 121 lost in 476 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 2 won, 2 drawn, 17 lost in 21 matches | 14 won, 65 drawn, 225 lost in 304 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches | 87 won, 242 drawn, 87 lost in 416 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 1 won, 2 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches | 9 won, 65 drawn, 238 lost in 312 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 17 drawn, 28 lost in 62 matches | 402 won, 308 drawn, 402 lost in 1112 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 11 won, 12 drawn, 22 lost in 45 matches | 264 won, 250 drawn, 264 lost in 778 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 1 won, 3 drawn, 16 lost in 20 matches | 43 won, 57 drawn, 212 lost in 312 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Aberdeen | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 24 scored, 30 conceded (79) | 519 scored, 519 conceded (1542) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 11 conceded (22) | 148 scored, 148 conceded (432) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 14 conceded (39) | 165 scored, 206 conceded (555) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 54 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 19(league sides: 830 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 372)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Hibernian
| Score | Hibernian | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 28 won, 10 drawn, 4 lost in 42 matches | 494 won, 147 drawn, 86 lost in 727 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 8 drawn, 19 lost in 30 matches | 86 won, 147 drawn, 494 lost in 727 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 15 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches | 241 won, 76 drawn, 47 lost in 364 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 13 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 164 won, 212 drawn, 164 lost in 540 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 141 won, 204 drawn, 141 lost in 486 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 18 drawn, 6 lost in 31 matches | 121 won, 234 drawn, 121 lost in 476 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 87 won, 242 drawn, 87 lost in 416 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 18 drawn, 17 lost in 52 matches | 402 won, 308 drawn, 402 lost in 1112 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 17 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches | 212 won, 57 drawn, 43 lost in 312 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 15 drawn, 12 lost in 35 matches | 264 won, 250 drawn, 264 lost in 778 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Hibernian | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 32 scored, 22 conceded (78) | 519 scored, 519 conceded (1542) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 8 conceded (29) | 206 scored, 165 conceded (555) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 9 conceded (27) | 148 scored, 148 conceded (432) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 5 conceded (22) | 165 scored, 206 conceded (555) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 18(league sides: 830 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 372)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 5 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Aberdeen and Hibernian
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:43 GMT
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