LEDGER
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A-League
Adelaide United
06:00
Melbourne Victory
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 4 · Coopers Stadium, Adelaide

Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Melbourne Victory win

Adelaide United have won only one of their last five matches, while Melbourne Victory have managed one win and two draws in their last five games. The model estimates Adelaide a 35% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory 39% and a draw 26%, with expected goals of 1.45 and 1.57 respectively for a total of 3.02.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 35%Adelaide United win
  • 26%Draw
  • 39%Melbourne Victory win

PRO analysis

This analysis is part of PRO

PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–5at Home United
  2. lost0–4at Perth Glory
  3. lost0–2v Home United
  4. lost1–2at Sydney
  5. won2–1at BG Pathum United
Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–2v Persib Bandung
  2. drew1–1v Central Coast Mariners
  3. lost0–2at Persib Bandung
  4. drew1–1v Melbourne City
  5. lost1–2at Wellington Phoenix

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Melbourne Victory won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Adelaide United's last 10 home league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Adelaide United's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Adelaide United 2, draws 4, Melbourne Victory 4

Goals: Adelaide United 14, Melbourne Victory 18

DateMatchScore
27 Feb 2026Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United1–1
17 Jan 2026Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory2–1
13 Dec 2025Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United2–1
29 Mar 2025Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United5–3
18 Jan 2025Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory3–2
9 Mar 2024Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory1–2
30 Dec 2023Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United2–0
4 Nov 2023Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United1–1
26 Feb 2023Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United1–1
14 Jan 2023Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory1–1

Home and away

Adelaide United

Adelaide United at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostHome UnitedAFC Champions League Two29 Oct 20260–2
  • WonWofoo Tai PoAFC Champions League Two17 Sep 20263–0
  • LostCông An Nhân DânAFC Champions League Elite11 Aug 20260–2
  • LostAuckland15 May 20260–3
  • WonMacarthur19 Apr 20263–1

Adelaide United: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostPersib BandungAFC Champions League Two28 Oct 20260–2
  • LostWellington Phoenix18 Oct 20261–2
  • DrawnViettelAFC Champions League Two16 Sep 20261–1
  • WonWestern Sydney Wanderers25 Apr 20262–0
  • DrawnAuckland11 Apr 20262–2

Melbourne Victory: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Adelaide United
Last match
3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v Home United · AFC Champions League Two
Next match
12 days after20 Nov 2026 · v Western Sydney Wanderers · A-League
Melbourne Victory
Last match
4 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Persib Bandung · AFC Champions League Two
Next match
13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Auckland · A-League

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 18:08 GMT

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