Al-Nassr v NEOM match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 20 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 67%Al-Nassr win
- 20%Draw
- 13%NEOM win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Al-NassrLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
NEOMLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Al-Nassr won 46 of 51 matches in which they scored first, since 25 Feb 2025.
- NEOM won 16 of 22 matches in which they scored first, since 28 Aug 2025.
- Al-Nassr unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of NEOM's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Al-Nassr 2, draws 0, NEOM 0
Goals: Al-Nassr 4, NEOM 1
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Al-Nassr v NEOM | 1–0 |
| 8 Nov 2025 | NEOM v Al-Nassr | 1–3 |
Home and away
Al-NassrAl-Nassr at home
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonNeftchiAFC Champions League Elite12 Oct 20263–1
- WonAl Diriyah9 Oct 20263–0
- WonAbha9 Sep 20262–1
- WonAl Taawon28 Aug 20262–1
- WonAl-Fateh15 Aug 20263–0
Al-Nassr: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 24 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
NEOMNEOM away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnAl-Hazm10 Oct 20261–1
- WonAl-Hilal Saudi FC7 Sep 20262–0
- LostAl Riyadh28 Aug 20260–1
- WonAl-Faisaly FC21 Aug 20262–0
- LostAl-Hilal Saudi FC16 May 20260–2
NEOM: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Al-Nassr- Last match
- 8 days before12 Oct 2026 · v Neftchi · AFC Champions League Elite
- Next match
- 3 days after23 Oct 2026 · v Al-Faisaly FC · Pro League
NEOM- Last match
- 3 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Al-Ettifaq · Pro League
- Next match
- 4 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Abha · Pro League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Al-Nassr
Since 25 Feb 2025
| Score | Al-Nassr | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 46 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost in 51 matches | 323 won, 86 drawn, 66 lost in 475 matches |
| Conceded first | 8 won, 3 drawn, 9 lost in 20 matches | 66 won, 86 drawn, 323 lost in 475 matches |
| 2+ goals up at half-time | 19 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 78 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost in 86 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 20 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches | 155 won, 44 drawn, 20 lost in 219 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 127 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost in 135 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 19 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 148 won, 43 drawn, 12 lost in 203 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 26 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 26 matches | 148 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 152 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 20 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 150 won, 38 drawn, 11 lost in 199 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 29 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches | 163 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 165 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 20 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 166 won, 30 drawn, 9 lost in 205 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 34 won, 6 drawn, 8 lost in 48 matches | 260 won, 192 drawn, 260 lost in 712 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 24 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 35 matches | 183 won, 152 drawn, 183 lost in 518 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Al-Nassr | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 50 scored, 13 conceded (72) | 363 scored, 363 conceded (1010) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 35 scored, 6 conceded (49) | 136 scored, 114 conceded (356) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 24 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 16(league sides: 546 times, within 15 minutes 102, by full time 241)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
NEOM
Since 28 Aug 2025
| Score | NEOM | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 16 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 323 won, 86 drawn, 66 lost in 475 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 4 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches | 66 won, 86 drawn, 323 lost in 475 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 14 won, 5 drawn, 13 lost in 32 matches | 260 won, 192 drawn, 260 lost in 712 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 3 drawn, 12 lost in 23 matches | 183 won, 152 drawn, 183 lost in 518 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | NEOM | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 12 scored, 14 conceded (43) | 363 scored, 363 conceded (1010) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 22 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 9(league sides: 546 times, within 15 minutes 102, by full time 241)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 24 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Al-Nassr and NEOM
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 20 Oct 2026, 17:57 BST · not changed since
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