Almeria v Leganes match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Almeria are strong favourites at 58% to beat Leganes, riding five consecutive wins compared to Leganes' single victory in their last five games. The model expects 2.6 goals total with Almeria dominating the expected goals metric.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 58%Almeria win
- 25%Draw
- 17%Leganes win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
AlmeriaLast 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats
LeganesLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Almeria won 33 of 44 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Mar 2025.
- Leganes won 19 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
- Almeria won 3 of the last 5 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Almeria's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Almeria 3, draws 1, Leganes 1
Goals: Almeria 10, Leganes 6
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | Almeria v Leganes | 2–1 |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Leganes v Almeria | 0–3 |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Almeria v LeganesCopa del Rey | 2–3 |
| 29 May 2022 | Leganes v Almeria | 2–2 |
| 29 Oct 2021 | Almeria v Leganes | 1–0 |
Home and away
AlmeriaAlmeria at home
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonBurgos3 Oct 20262–1
- WonCelta de Vigo II20 Sep 20262–0
- WonCadiz6 Sep 20263–2
- WonEldense17 Aug 20263–0
- LostMalaga20 Jun 20261–2
Almeria: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 23 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
LeganesLeganes away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostCadiz3 Oct 20260–4
- LostTenerife13 Sep 20260–2
- DrawnLas Palmas4 Sep 20260–0
- WonOviedo22 Aug 20261–0
- DrawnGirona16 Aug 20261–1
Leganes: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 4 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Almeria- Last match
- 8 days before3 Oct 2026 · v Burgos · Segunda División
- Next match
- 6 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Real Sociedad II · Segunda División
Leganes- Last match
- 8 days before3 Oct 2026 · v Cadiz · Segunda División
- Next match
- 5 days after16 Oct 2026 · v Cordoba · Segunda División
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Almeria
Since 1 Mar 2025
| Score | Almeria | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 33 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost in 44 matches | 445 won, 122 drawn, 100 lost in 667 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 24 matches | 100 won, 122 drawn, 445 lost in 667 matches |
| Level at half-time | 12 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches | 198 won, 242 drawn, 198 lost in 638 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 25 matches | 154 won, 210 drawn, 154 lost in 518 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost in 21 matches | 130 won, 228 drawn, 130 lost in 488 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 6 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches | 103 won, 248 drawn, 103 lost in 454 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 22 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 46 matches | 360 won, 296 drawn, 360 lost in 1016 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 18 won, 8 drawn, 13 lost in 39 matches | 266 won, 252 drawn, 266 lost in 784 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Almeria | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 27 scored, 34 conceded (72) | 481 scored, 481 conceded (1450) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 15 conceded (33) | 150 scored, 185 conceded (491) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 11 conceded (21) | 146 scored, 146 conceded (468) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 34 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 22(league sides: 754 times, within 15 minutes 130, by full time 350)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Leganes
Since 20 Oct 2024
| Score | Leganes | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 34 matches | 445 won, 122 drawn, 100 lost in 667 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 5 drawn, 28 lost in 37 matches | 100 won, 122 drawn, 445 lost in 667 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 19 drawn, 12 lost in 42 matches | 198 won, 242 drawn, 198 lost in 638 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 1 won, 1 drawn, 18 lost in 20 matches | 38 won, 52 drawn, 213 lost in 303 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 16 drawn, 9 lost in 33 matches | 154 won, 210 drawn, 154 lost in 518 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches | 25 won, 69 drawn, 225 lost in 319 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 25 matches | 130 won, 228 drawn, 130 lost in 488 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 0 won, 6 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches | 16 won, 59 drawn, 233 lost in 308 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 14 drawn, 6 lost in 24 matches | 103 won, 248 drawn, 103 lost in 454 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 20 drawn, 27 lost in 62 matches | 360 won, 296 drawn, 360 lost in 1016 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 21 drawn, 16 lost in 49 matches | 266 won, 252 drawn, 266 lost in 784 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Leganes | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 34 conceded (81) | 481 scored, 481 conceded (1450) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 11 conceded (24) | 150 scored, 185 conceded (491) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 8 conceded (25) | 146 scored, 146 conceded (468) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 15 conceded (32) | 185 scored, 150 conceded (491) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 19(league sides: 754 times, within 15 minutes 130, by full time 350)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Almeria and Leganes
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 11 Oct 2026, 14:52 BST · not changed since
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