Ascoli v Empoli match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Ascoli are favoured to win this Serie B clash, with a 47% model probability, but the 28% draw chance reflects uncertainty. The hosts hold an expected-goals advantage of 0.42 and should create more chances, though Empoli's away status and recent form make them underdogs.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 47%Ascoli win
- 28%Draw
- 25%Empoli win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
AscoliLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
EmpoliLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Ascoli unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Ascoli's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
AscoliAscoli at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonAvellino19 Sep 20263–1
- WonBenevento5 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnCarrarese29 Aug 20261–1
- WonPotenzaCoppa Italia8 Aug 20263–1
- WonPisa10 May 20242–1
Ascoli: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
EmpoliEmpoli away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostModena20 Sep 20261–2
- WonCarrarese5 Sep 20261–0
- LostMantova30 Aug 20261–3
- DrawnPisaCoppa Italia17 Aug 20261–1 PEN
- DrawnMonza8 May 20262–2
Empoli: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Ascoli- Last match
- 7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Sudtirol · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Catanzaro · Serie B · Italy
Empoli- Last match
- 7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Palermo · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 6 days after23 Oct 2026 · v Vicenza Virtus · Serie B · Italy
PRO depth
PRO depth: Ascoli and Empoli
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 17 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since
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