Atletico Madrid v Bayern München match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 3 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Bayern München are slight favourites. Atletico Madrid have won four of their last five matches, while Bayern have taken two wins from five. Atletico will be without M. Hjulmand due to suspension, with J. Cardoso and C. Romero doubtful, while Bayern are missing L. Diaz, S. Gnabry, J. Musiala and I. Saibari through injury.
How the match could end · bookmaker odds before kick-off
- 33%Atletico Madrid win
- 25%Draw
- 42%Bayern München win
Bookmaker odds, margin removed · prices at Tue 3 Nov 2026 · 18:00 GMT
Goals · bookmaker odds, margin removed
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Under 2.5 goals38%
- Both teams score: yes65%
- Both teams score: no35%
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the written analysis of this match, where one was published before kick-off.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, form, past meetings and injuries.
Form · newest first
Atletico MadridLast 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
- won2–0at Levante
- won1–0v Deportivo La Coruna
- drew1–1at VfB Stuttgart
- won1–0at Espanyol
- won2–0v Manchester United
Bayern MünchenLast 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
- drew2–2v Borussia Dortmund
- won6–1v 1. FC Magdeburg
- won3–1at SC Freiburg
- drew2–2v Arsenal
- won6–1v RB Leipzig
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
In Europe this season
Atletico Madrid
3 games: 1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost (90 minutes)
xG 3.29 for, 4.23 against, in 3 games with xG
- Drawnat VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20261–1xG 0.91–1.63
- Wonv Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20262–0xG 1.47–0.98
- Lostat LiverpoolUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20261–2xG 0.91–1.62
Bayern München
3 games: 1 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost (90 minutes)
xG 8.62 for, 2.57 against, in 3 games with xG
- Drawnv ArsenalUEFA Champions League21 Oct 20262–2xG 2.50–1.71
- Drawnat VikingUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20263–3xG 3.51–0.56
- Wonv Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20265–0xG 2.61–0.30
The two leagues in UEFA matches
La Liga clubs against other leagues since 2021-22: 412 games, 199 won, 77 drawn, 136 lost (1.64 points per game)
Bundesliga clubs against other leagues since 2021-22: 397 games, 194 won, 76 drawn, 127 lost (1.66 points per game)
UCL and UEL, 90 minutes. Each club counts with the league it played that season.
Home and away
League figures are against each club's own league opponents, so they do not compare across leagues.
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga24 Oct 20261–0
- WonManchester United13 Oct 20262–0
- WonReal MadridLa Liga20 Sep 20262–1
- WonOsasunaLa Liga16 Sep 20264–0
- DrawnVillarrealLa Liga23 Aug 20262–2
Atletico Madrid: home games in La Liga
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Bayern MünchenBayern München away
Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost
- WonSC FreiburgBundesliga25 Oct 20263–1
- DrawnViking13 Oct 20263–3
- DrawnFC AugsburgBundesliga10 Oct 20262–2
- WonSV ElversbergBundesliga13 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnFC Schalke 04Bundesliga5 Sep 20260–0
Bayern München: away games in Bundesliga
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 24 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Atletico Madrid- Last match
- 3 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Levante · La Liga
- Next match
- 5 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Barcelona · La Liga
Bayern München- Last match
- 3 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 4 days after7 Nov 2026 · v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- J. Cardoso (Thigh Injury) · M. Hjulmand (Red Card)
- Ruled out
- L. Diaz (Muscle Injury) · S. Gnabry (Muscle Injury) · J. Musiala (Muscle Injury) · I. Saibari (Ankle Injury)
Published 3 Nov 2026, 18:57 GMT · not changed since
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