Primera AFri 23 Oct 2026 · 02:00 BSTClausura · Matchday 14 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 23 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Atletico Nacional are given a 70% chance of victory in this Colombian league match against Deportivo Pasto. The model expects 2.83 goals total, with Nacional's attacking advantage reflected in a 1.39 expected goals gap.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 70%Atletico Nacional win
  • 20%Draw
  • 10%Deportivo Pasto win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Atletico Nacional won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Atletico Nacional unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Atletico Nacional 8, draws 2, Deportivo Pasto 0

Goals: Atletico Nacional 19, Deportivo Pasto 8

DateMatchScore
30 Mar 2026Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional1–2
18 Oct 2025Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional2–2
30 Apr 2025Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto3–0
5 Dec 2024Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto2–1
24 Nov 2024Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional0–1
7 Oct 2024Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional1–2
24 Mar 2024Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto1–0
26 Aug 2023Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto2–0
18 Jun 2023Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto3–2
20 May 2023Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional1–1

Home and away

Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnDeportes Tolima9 Oct 20260–0
  • WonJunior1 Oct 20263–1
  • DrawnMillonarios25 Sep 20261–1
  • WonÁguilas Doradas13 Sep 20262–0
  • WonDeportivo Cali27 Aug 20262–1

Atletico Nacional: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
23 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostChico26 Sep 20260–3
  • WonAmerica de Cali15 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnCucuta6 Sep 20262–2
  • DrawnInternacional de Bogota28 Aug 20261–1
  • LostMillonarios5 Aug 20260–2

Deportivo Pasto: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Atletico Nacional
Last match
3 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Cucuta · Primera A
Next match
2 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Independiente Medellin · Primera A
Deportivo Pasto
Last match
3 days before20 Oct 2026 · v Alianza Valledupar · Primera A
Next match
3 days after26 Oct 2026 · v Deportes Tolima · Primera A

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 23 Oct 2026, 00:57 BST · not changed since

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