Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 23 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Atletico Nacional are given a 70% chance of victory in this Colombian league match against Deportivo Pasto. The model expects 2.83 goals total, with Nacional's attacking advantage reflected in a 1.39 expected goals gap.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 70%Atletico Nacional win
- 20%Draw
- 10%Deportivo Pasto win
PRO analysis
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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Atletico Nacional won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
- Atletico Nacional unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Atletico Nacional 8, draws 2, Deportivo Pasto 0
Goals: Atletico Nacional 19, Deportivo Pasto 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2026 | Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional | 1–2 |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional | 2–2 |
| 30 Apr 2025 | Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto | 3–0 |
| 5 Dec 2024 | Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto | 2–1 |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional | 0–1 |
| 7 Oct 2024 | Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional | 1–2 |
| 24 Mar 2024 | Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto | 1–0 |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto | 2–0 |
| 18 Jun 2023 | Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto | 3–2 |
| 20 May 2023 | Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional | 1–1 |
Home and away
Atletico Nacional at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnDeportes Tolima9 Oct 20260–0
- WonJunior1 Oct 20263–1
- DrawnMillonarios25 Sep 20261–1
- WonÁguilas Doradas13 Sep 20262–0
- WonDeportivo Cali27 Aug 20262–1
Atletico Nacional: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 23 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Deportivo Pasto away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostChico26 Sep 20260–3
- WonAmerica de Cali15 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnCucuta6 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnInternacional de Bogota28 Aug 20261–1
- LostMillonarios5 Aug 20260–2
Deportivo Pasto: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Cucuta · Primera A
- Next match
- 2 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Independiente Medellin · Primera A
- Last match
- 3 days before20 Oct 2026 · v Alianza Valledupar · Primera A
- Next match
- 3 days after26 Oct 2026 · v Deportes Tolima · Primera A
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 23 Oct 2026, 00:57 BST · not changed since
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