Primera ASun 25 Oct 2026 · 23:10 GMTClausura · Matchday 16 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Atletico Nacional are favoured at home with a 59% chance of victory against Independiente Medellin. The model expects a competitive match with 2.78 goals and an attacking advantage to the home side.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 59%Atletico Nacional win
  • 24%Draw
  • 17%Independiente Medellin win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Atletico Nacional won 3 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Atletico Nacional unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Independiente Medellin's last 10 away league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Independiente Medellin's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Atletico Nacional 3, draws 6, Independiente Medellin 1

Goals: Atletico Nacional 18, Independiente Medellin 18

DateMatchScore
12 Apr 2026Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional2–3
4 Dec 2025Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin2–1
23 Nov 2025Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional0–0
26 Oct 2025Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin5–2
8 Sep 2025Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional3–3
4 May 2025Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional1–1
23 Mar 2025Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin1–1
11 Nov 2024Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin1–1
23 Apr 2024Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional2–2
3 Dec 2023Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin0–5

Home and away

Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonDeportivo Pasto23 Oct 20263–0
  • DrawnDeportes Tolima9 Oct 20260–0
  • WonJunior1 Oct 20263–1
  • DrawnMillonarios25 Sep 20261–1
  • WonÁguilas Doradas13 Sep 20262–0

Atletico Nacional: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
24 scored, 5 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonAmerica de Cali12 Oct 20262–1
  • LostJunior27 Sep 20260–2
  • DrawnBucaramanga18 Sep 20262–2
  • LostChico13 Sep 20261–2
  • WonDeportivo Pereira4 Sep 20263–0

Independiente Medellin: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Atletico Nacional
Last match
2 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Deportivo Pasto · Primera A
Next match
5 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Santa Fe · Primera A
Independiente Medellin
Last match
7 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Once Caldas · Primera A
Next match
4 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Internacional de Bogota · Primera A

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 25 Oct 2026, 22:08 GMT · not changed since

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