Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Atletico Nacional are favoured at home with a 59% chance of victory against Independiente Medellin. The model expects a competitive match with 2.78 goals and an attacking advantage to the home side.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 59%Atletico Nacional win
- 24%Draw
- 17%Independiente Medellin win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Atletico Nacional won 3 of the last 10 meetings.
- Atletico Nacional unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Independiente Medellin's last 10 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Independiente Medellin's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Atletico Nacional 3, draws 6, Independiente Medellin 1
Goals: Atletico Nacional 18, Independiente Medellin 18
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional | 2–3 |
| 4 Dec 2025 | Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin | 2–1 |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional | 0–0 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin | 5–2 |
| 8 Sep 2025 | Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional | 3–3 |
| 4 May 2025 | Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional | 1–1 |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin | 1–1 |
| 11 Nov 2024 | Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin | 1–1 |
| 23 Apr 2024 | Independiente Medellin v Atletico Nacional | 2–2 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin | 0–5 |
Home and away
Atletico Nacional at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonDeportivo Pasto23 Oct 20263–0
- DrawnDeportes Tolima9 Oct 20260–0
- WonJunior1 Oct 20263–1
- DrawnMillonarios25 Sep 20261–1
- WonÁguilas Doradas13 Sep 20262–0
Atletico Nacional: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 24 scored, 5 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Independiente Medellin away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonAmerica de Cali12 Oct 20262–1
- LostJunior27 Sep 20260–2
- DrawnBucaramanga18 Sep 20262–2
- LostChico13 Sep 20261–2
- WonDeportivo Pereira4 Sep 20263–0
Independiente Medellin: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 2 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Deportivo Pasto · Primera A
- Next match
- 5 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Santa Fe · Primera A
- Last match
- 7 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Once Caldas · Primera A
- Next match
- 4 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Internacional de Bogota · Primera A
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 25 Oct 2026, 22:08 GMT · not changed since
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