Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 30 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Atletico Nacional hold a 54% chance of victory at home, with expected goals of 1.6 to Santa Fe's 0.9, creating a gap of 0.7 in Nacional's favour. Nacional are unbeaten in their last five (three wins, two draws), while Santa Fe have won four of their last five matches. Head-to-head records are mixed, with Nacional winning two of the last four meetings and one draw.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 54%Atletico Nacional win
- 27%Draw
- 19%Santa Fe win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Atletico Nacional won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
- Atletico Nacional unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Santa Fe's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Atletico Nacional 5, draws 4, Santa Fe 1
Goals: Atletico Nacional 20, Santa Fe 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2026 | Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional | 1–2 |
| 26 Jul 2025 | Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe | 1–1 |
| 13 Jun 2025 | Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional | 1–2 |
| 8 Jun 2025 | Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe | 1–2 |
| 13 Feb 2025 | Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional | 2–2 |
| 9 Dec 2024 | Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional | 0–3 |
| 21 Nov 2024 | Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe | 5–0 |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe | 1–1 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional | 0–0 |
| 21 Sep 2023 | Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe | 3–0 |
Home and away
Atletico Nacional at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonIndependiente Medellin25 Oct 20262–1
- WonDeportivo Pasto23 Oct 20263–0
- DrawnDeportes Tolima9 Oct 20260–0
- WonJunior1 Oct 20263–1
- DrawnMillonarios25 Sep 20261–1
Atletico Nacional: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 24 scored, 6 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Santa Fe away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- LostLlaneros19 Oct 20260–1
- WonIndependiente Medellin6 Oct 20261–0
- WonDeportivo Pereira29 Sep 20262–1
- WonAlianza Valledupar19 Sep 20264–1
- LostVasco DA GamaCONMEBOL Sudamericana15 Sep 20260–2
Santa Fe: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 5 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Independiente Medellin · Primera A
- Next match
- 4 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Bucaramanga · Primera A
- Last match
- 3 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Bucaramanga · Primera A
- Next match
- 3 days after2 Nov 2026 · v Once Caldas · Copa Colombia
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 30 Oct 2026, 00:27 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures