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Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0–2Finished
Palmeiras
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:30 BSTMatchday 31 · Arena da Baixada, Curitiba

Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Palmeiras hold a 42% chance of victory over Atletico Paranaense's 31%, with a draw rated 28% likely. The model expects 2.64 goals total with Palmeiras slightly ahead in underlying performance. Both teams carry injury concerns heading into this fixture.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 31%Atletico Paranaense win
  • 27%Draw
  • 42%Palmeiras win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

PalmeirasPalmeiras

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Palmeiras won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Atletico Paranaense unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Atletico Paranaense 3, draws 3, Palmeiras 4

Goals: Atletico Paranaense 10, Palmeiras 11

DateMatchScore
19 Apr 2026Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense1–0
1 Sep 2024Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras0–2
12 May 2024Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense0–2
5 Nov 2023Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense1–0
2 Jul 2023Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras2–2
26 Oct 2022Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras1–3
7 Sep 2022Palmeiras v Atletico ParanaenseCONMEBOL Libertadores2–2
31 Aug 2022Atletico Paranaense v PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores1–0
3 Jul 2022Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense0–2
6 Dec 2021Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras0–0

Home and away

Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense at home

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnAtletico-MG9 Oct 20262–2
  • WonBahia20 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnFluminense30 Aug 20263–3
  • DrawnRB Bragantino15 Aug 20261–1
  • WonInternacional25 Jul 20262–0

Atletico Paranaense: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Palmeiras

Palmeiras away

Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonFluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores15 Oct 20262–1
  • DrawnGremio20 Sep 20260–0
  • LostLDU de QuitoCONMEBOL Libertadores16 Sep 20262–3 PEN
  • DrawnBotafogo6 Sep 20260–0
  • DrawnMirassol30 Aug 20261–1

Palmeiras: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Atletico Paranaense
Last match
5 days before12 Oct 2026 · v Chapecoense-sc · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Vitoria · Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
Last match
2 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Fluminense · CONMEBOL Libertadores
Next match
5 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Fluminense · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Injuries and suspensions

  • Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
    Ruled out
    G. Benavidez (Muscle Injury) · K. A. Calderon Vargas (Inactive) · Dantas (Inactive) · C. Teran (Inactive)
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras
    Ruled out
    A. Giay (Yellow Cards) · G. Gomez (Yellow Cards) · Jefte (Knee Injury) · Vitor Roque (Inactive)

Published 17 Oct 2026, 22:27 BST · not changed since

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