Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA Gama match analysis
Our selection
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This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 4 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Atletico Paranaense are given a 52% chance of victory by the model, with Vasco at 23% and a draw at 25%. Expected goals total 2.85 with Atletico favoured 1.74 to 1.11. Both sides have inconsistent recent form, though Vasco won their May head-to-head 1-0. Atletico are missing Claudinho and C. Teran, while Vasco are without four players including A. Gomez and Mateus Carvalho.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 52%Atletico Paranaense win
- 25%Draw
- 23%Vasco DA Gama win
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Form · newest first
Atletico ParanaenseLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- lost0–2at Gremio
- drew1–1at Vitoria
- lost0–2v Palmeiras
- won4–1at Chapecoense-sc
- drew2–2v Atletico-MG
Vasco DA GamaLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- lost1–4v Flamengo
- won3–2v Corinthians
- lost1–3v Boca Juniors
- lost0–1at Sao Paulo
- won1–0at Boca Juniors
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Atletico Paranaense 2, draws 1, Vasco DA Gama 2
Goals: Atletico Paranaense 4, Vasco DA Gama 3
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Vasco DA Gama v Atletico Paranaense | 1–0 |
| 27 Aug 2024 | Vasco DA Gama v Atletico Paranaense | 2–1 |
| 5 May 2024 | Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA Gama | 1–0 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Atletico Paranaense v Vasco DA Gama | 0–0 |
| 23 Jul 2023 | Vasco DA Gama v Atletico Paranaense | 0–2 |
Home and away
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense at home
Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost
- LostPalmeiras17 Oct 20260–2
- DrawnAtletico-MG9 Oct 20262–2
- WonBahia20 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnFluminense30 Aug 20263–3
- DrawnRB Bragantino15 Aug 20261–1
Atletico Paranaense: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- LostSao Paulo18 Oct 20260–1
- WonBoca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana14 Oct 20261–0
- WonBotafogo8 Oct 20262–1
- WonGremio12 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnSanta FeCONMEBOL Sudamericana8 Sep 20260–0
Vasco DA Gama: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 8 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Atletico Paranaense- Last match
- 5 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Gremio · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 14 days after18 Nov 2026 · v Flamengo · Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama- Last match
- 3 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Palmeiras · Copa Do Brasil
- Next match
- 4 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Palmeiras · Copa Do Brasil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Claudinho (Knee Injury) · C. Teran (Inactive)
- Ruled out
- Cauan Barros (Leg Injury) · C. Cuesta (Hip Injury) · A. Gomez (Injury) · Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury)
Published 4 Nov 2026, 21:27 GMT · not changed since
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