Auckland v Wellington Phoenix match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Auckland a 55% chance of winning against Wellington Phoenix, with draws at 24% and away wins at 21%. Expected goals total 3.01, with Auckland projected to create more chances at 1.88 to 1.13. Auckland have won three of their last five, while Wellington come in with strong recent form of four wins in five, though head-to-head results favour Auckland significantly.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 55%Auckland win
- 24%Draw
- 21%Wellington Phoenix win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- drew1–1at Brisbane Roar
- lost2–5at Western Sydney Wanderers
- won3–1v Melbourne City
- won1–0v Sydney
- won3–0at Adelaide United
Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won3–0at Newcastle Jets
- won2–0v Central Coast Mariners
- won2–1v Melbourne Victory
- lost0–4at Macarthur
- won2–1v Western Sydney Wanderers
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Auckland won 6 of the last 6 meetings.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: Auckland 6, draws 0, Wellington Phoenix 0
Goals: Auckland 20, Wellington Phoenix 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Wellington Phoenix v Auckland | 0–5 |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Auckland v Wellington Phoenix | 3–1 |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Wellington Phoenix v Auckland | 1–2 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Auckland v Wellington Phoenix | 6–1 |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Auckland v Wellington Phoenix | 2–1 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Wellington Phoenix v Auckland | 0–2 |
Home and away
Auckland at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonMelbourne City17 Oct 20263–1
- WonSydney23 May 20261–0
- DrawnAdelaide United9 May 20261–1
- DrawnMelbourne City2 May 20261–1 PEN
- LostCentral Coast Mariners19 Apr 20260–1
Auckland: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Wellington Phoenix away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonNewcastle Jets31 Oct 20263–0
- LostMacarthur24 Apr 20260–4
- LostMelbourne City12 Apr 20260–2
- WonMelbourne Victory5 Apr 20261–0
- WonBrisbane Roar21 Mar 20262–1
Wellington Phoenix: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 8 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Brisbane Roar · A-League
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Melbourne Victory · A-League
- Last match
- 7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Newcastle Jets · A-League
- Next match
- Not known
Injuries and suspensions
Auckland
- Ruled out
- A. Calver (Ankle Injury) · C. Howieson (Calf Injury) · O. Middleton (Knee Injury)
Wellington Phoenix
- Ruled out
- F. Conchie (Inactive) · I. Hughes (Inactive) · J. Smith (Inactive)
Published 7 Nov 2026, 02:57 GMT · not changed since
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