A-League
Auckland
0–0Finished
Wellington Phoenix
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 04:00 GMTMatchday 4 · Mount Smart Stadium, Auckland

Auckland v Wellington Phoenix match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Auckland a 55% chance of winning against Wellington Phoenix, with draws at 24% and away wins at 21%. Expected goals total 3.01, with Auckland projected to create more chances at 1.88 to 1.13. Auckland have won three of their last five, while Wellington come in with strong recent form of four wins in five, though head-to-head results favour Auckland significantly.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 55%Auckland win
  • 24%Draw
  • 21%Wellington Phoenix win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

AucklandAuckland

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. drew1–1at Brisbane Roar
  2. lost2–5at Western Sydney Wanderers
  3. won3–1v Melbourne City
  4. won1–0v Sydney
  5. won3–0at Adelaide United
Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

  1. won3–0at Newcastle Jets
  2. won2–0v Central Coast Mariners
  3. won2–1v Melbourne Victory
  4. lost0–4at Macarthur
  5. won2–1v Western Sydney Wanderers

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Auckland won 6 of the last 6 meetings.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Auckland 6, draws 0, Wellington Phoenix 0

Goals: Auckland 20, Wellington Phoenix 4

DateMatchScore
21 Feb 2026Wellington Phoenix v Auckland0–5
6 Dec 2025Auckland v Wellington Phoenix3–1
8 Nov 2025Wellington Phoenix v Auckland1–2
22 Feb 2025Auckland v Wellington Phoenix6–1
7 Dec 2024Auckland v Wellington Phoenix2–1
2 Nov 2024Wellington Phoenix v Auckland0–2

Home and away

Auckland

Auckland at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonMelbourne City17 Oct 20263–1
  • WonSydney23 May 20261–0
  • DrawnAdelaide United9 May 20261–1
  • DrawnMelbourne City2 May 20261–1 PEN
  • LostCentral Coast Mariners19 Apr 20260–1

Auckland: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix away

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonNewcastle Jets31 Oct 20263–0
  • LostMacarthur24 Apr 20260–4
  • LostMelbourne City12 Apr 20260–2
  • WonMelbourne Victory5 Apr 20261–0
  • WonBrisbane Roar21 Mar 20262–1

Wellington Phoenix: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Auckland
Last match
8 days before30 Oct 2026 · v Brisbane Roar · A-League
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Melbourne Victory · A-League
Wellington Phoenix
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Newcastle Jets · A-League
Next match
Not known

Injuries and suspensions

  • AucklandAuckland
    Ruled out
    A. Calver (Ankle Injury) · C. Howieson (Calf Injury) · O. Middleton (Knee Injury)
  • Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix
    Ruled out
    F. Conchie (Inactive) · I. Hughes (Inactive) · J. Smith (Inactive)

Published 7 Nov 2026, 02:57 GMT · not changed since

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