Avellino v Padova match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Avellino a 46% chance of winning at home, compared to Padova's 25% chance of an away victory. Avellino have picked up two wins in their last five games, while Padova are without a win in the same period. Expected goals total 2.41.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

46%Avellino win
29%Draw
25%Padova win

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Form · newest first

Avellino

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Padova

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Avellino 1, draws 1, Padova 0

Goals: Avellino 3, Padova 2

Date	Match	Score
7 Mar 2026	Avellino v Padova	1–0
30 Sep 2025	Padova v Avellino	2–2

Home and away

Avellino

Avellino at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

WonSampdoria9 Oct 20264–1
DrawnPalermo13 Sep 20261–1
WonVicenza Virtus29 Aug 20263–0
LostArezzo22 Aug 20261–2
WonModena8 May 20261–0

Avellino: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 17 scored, 7 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 4 of 10
Clean sheets: 5 of 10

Padova

Padova away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

LostPalermo19 Sep 20261–2
LostCremonese6 Sep 20261–3
WonPisa23 Aug 20261–0
LostUdineseCoppa Italia15 Aug 20260–1
WonCesena8 May 20264–3

Padova: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 10 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Avellino

Last match: 6 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Cesena · Serie B · Italy
Next match: 3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Virtus Entella · Serie B · Italy

Padova

Last match: 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Virtus Entella · Serie B · Italy
Next match: 3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Sudtirol · Serie B · Italy

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 BST · not changed since

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