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J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1Finished
V-varen Nagasaki
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 06:00 GMTMatchday 14 · Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki match analysis

Our selection

PRO members see our selection for this match.

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Avispa Fukuoka and V-varen Nagasaki are evenly matched, with the model giving Fukuoka a 37% chance of winning, Nagasaki 34%, and a draw 29% likely. Expected goals total 2.52, with 1.28 for Fukuoka and 1.24 for Nagasaki. Fukuoka have recovered with one win after four losses, whilst Nagasaki have faltered with consecutive draws and defeats.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 37%Avispa Fukuoka win
  • 29%Draw
  • 34%V-varen Nagasaki win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–3at JEF United Chiba
  2. lost1–3at Tokyo Verdy
  3. lost1–2v Gamba Osaka
  4. lost0–3at Machida Zelvia
  5. won2–1v Fagiano Okayama
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–2v Tokyo Verdy
  2. lost0–1at Urawa
  3. won4–0v Sanfrecce Hiroshima
  4. lost0–2at Kashima
  5. drew1–1at JEF United Chiba

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • V-varen Nagasaki without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Avispa Fukuoka 1, draws 0, V-varen Nagasaki 1

Goals: Avispa Fukuoka 1, V-varen Nagasaki 1

DateMatchScore
11 Apr 2026Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki1–0
15 Mar 2026V-varen Nagasaki v Avispa Fukuoka1–0

Home and away

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka at home

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostGamba Osaka21 Oct 20261–2
  • WonFagiano Okayama10 Oct 20262–1
  • LostSanfrecce Hiroshima19 Sep 20260–1
  • DrawnMito Hollyhock5 Sep 20261–1
  • LostUrawa2 Sep 20262–3

Avispa Fukuoka: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostUrawa25 Oct 20260–1
  • LostKashima17 Oct 20260–2
  • DrawnJEF United Chiba11 Oct 20261–1
  • LostVissel Kobe6 Sep 20261–3
  • LostKashiwa Reysol21 Aug 20262–4

V-varen Nagasaki: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Avispa Fukuoka
Last match
6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v JEF United Chiba · J1 League
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Kawasaki Frontale · J1 League
V-varen Nagasaki
Last match
6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Tokyo Verdy · J1 League
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Machida Zelvia · J1 League

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 04:57 GMT · not changed since

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