Bayer Leverkusen v 1. FC Nürnberg match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Bayer Leverkusen are strong favourites on current form, with four wins in their last five matches, while 1. FC Nürnberg arrive with two wins and two draws from their last five. The model estimates Leverkusen have a 74% chance of winning and projects 2.67 expected goals for the hosts against 0.97 for Nürnberg, a gap of 1.7 in Leverkusen's favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 74%Bayer Leverkusen win
- 16%Draw
- 10%1. FC Nürnberg win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Bayer LeverkusenLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
1. FC NürnbergLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Bayer Leverkusen won 41 of 57 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
- Bayer Leverkusen unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- 1. FC Nürnberg unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonSC FreiburgBundesliga18 Oct 20262–1
- WonRB LeipzigBundesliga20 Sep 20262–0
- WonCeljeUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20262–0
- WonUnion BerlinBundesliga5 Sep 20264–0
- DrawnHamburger SVBundesliga16 May 20261–1
Bayer Leverkusen: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 26 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
1. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg away
Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnEnergie Cottbus2. Bundesliga16 Oct 20261–1
- WonKarlsruher SC2. Bundesliga19 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnHolstein Kiel2. Bundesliga5 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnFC Viktoria Köln22 Aug 20261–1 PEN
- WonSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga15 Aug 20264–2
1. FC Nürnberg: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 9 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Bayer Leverkusen- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
1. FC Nürnberg- Last match
- 4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v 1. FC Kaiserslautern · 2. Bundesliga
- Next match
- 4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 1 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Bayer Leverkusen
| Score | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 41 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 57 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost in 27 matches |
| 2+ goals up at half-time | 19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 12 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches |
| Level at half-time | 13 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 30 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 22 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 15 won, 9 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 27 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 13 won, 8 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 28 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 15 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 26 won, 18 drawn, 11 lost in 55 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 12 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 21 won, 14 drawn, 9 lost in 44 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|
| All matches | 30 scored, 27 conceded (89) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 15 conceded (49) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 14 scored, 6 conceded (24) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 34 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 17Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Bayer Leverkusen and 1. FC Nürnberg
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 28 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since
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