Bayern München v Arsenal match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 21 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Arsenal won 3-1 against Bayern in their most recent meeting. Bayern have two wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Arsenal have won four of their last five with one defeat. Bayern are without Musiala and Olise, and Kimmich is doubtful, while Arsenal are missing Saliba and Hincapie from defence.
How the match could end · bookmaker odds before kick-off
- 42%Bayern München win
- 26%Draw
- 32%Arsenal win
Bookmaker odds, margin removed · prices at Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 13:27 BST
Goals · bookmaker odds, margin removed
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Under 2.5 goals41%
- Both teams score: yes63%
- Both teams score: no37%
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the written analysis of this match, where one was published before kick-off.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, form, past meetings and injuries.
Form · newest first
Bayern MünchenLast 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
ArsenalLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
In Europe this season
Bayern München
2 games: 1 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost (90 minutes)
xG 6.12 for, 0.86 against, in 2 games with xG
- Drawnat VikingUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20263–3xG 3.51–0.56
- Wonv Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20265–0xG 2.61–0.30
Arsenal
2 games: 2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost (90 minutes)
xG 5.75 for, 0.52 against, in 2 games with xG
- Wonv LilleUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20263–0xG 1.70–0.30
- Wonat NapoliUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20261–0xG 4.05–0.22
The two leagues in UEFA matches
Bundesliga clubs against other leagues since 2021-22: 391 games, 192 won, 75 drawn, 124 lost (1.66 points per game)
Premier League clubs against other leagues since 2021-22: 449 games, 274 won, 73 drawn, 102 lost (1.99 points per game)
UCL and UEL, 90 minutes. Each club counts with the league it played that season.
Last meetings
Meetings from the last three years in the competitions Ledger covers. Meetings in the 60 days before kick-off (the same tie) are left out.
3 meetings: Bayern München 1, draws 1, Arsenal 1
Goals: Bayern München 4, Arsenal 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | Arsenal v Bayern München | 3–1 |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Bayern München v Arsenal | 1–0 |
| 9 Apr 2024 | Arsenal v Bayern München | 2–2 |
Home and away
League figures are against each club's own league opponents, so they do not compare across leagues.
Bayern MünchenBayern München at home
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonRB LeipzigBundesliga17 Oct 20266–1
- WonUnion BerlinBundesliga18 Sep 20267–0
- WonBodo/Glimt10 Sep 20265–0
- WonVfB StuttgartBundesliga28 Aug 20265–1
- WonVfB StuttgartDFB Pokal23 May 20263–0
Bayern München: home games in Bundesliga
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 46 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 10 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
ArsenalArsenal away
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonNottingham ForestPremier League18 Oct 20261–0
- LostBrightonPremier League19 Sep 20260–3
- WonIpswichLeague Cup15 Sep 20264–2
- WonSunderlandPremier League12 Sep 20262–0
- WonNapoli9 Sep 20261–0
Arsenal: away games in Premier League
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Bayern München- Last match
- 4 days before17 Oct 2026 · v RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 4 days after25 Oct 2026 · v SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
Arsenal- Last match
- 3 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Nottingham Forest · Premier League
- Next match
- 3 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Everton · Premier League
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- T. Buchmann (Knee Injury) · J. Musiala (Muscle Injury) · M. Olise (Red Card)
- Doubtful
- J. Kimmich (Personal Reasons)
- Ruled out
- P. Hincapie (Ankle Injury) · W. Saliba (Back Injury) · C. Tzolis (Hamstring Injury)
Published 21 Oct 2026, 18:58 BST · not changed since
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