Belgium
ItalyBelgium v Italy · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Belgium win
Belgium are favoured at home in this Nations League fixture with a 49% chance of victory compared to Italy's 24%, with a 27% probability of a draw. The model projects Belgium to create a 0.5 expected-goals advantage (1.54 to 1.04) over Italy. Belgium's form reads LWLWL while Italy show WDWLW, and in their two most recent meetings Belgium won 2-0 away and Italy won 1-0 at home.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 49%Belgium win
- 27%Draw
- 24%Italy win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
BelgiumLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- lost1–4at France
- won3–0v Türkiye
- lost0–1v France
- won2–0at Italy
- lost1–2at Spain
ItalyLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won3–1v Türkiye
- drew1–1at France
- won4–1at Türkiye
- lost0–2v Belgium
- won1–0at Greece
Head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | Italy — Belgium | 0–2 |
| 14 Nov 2024 | Belgium — Italy | 0–1 |
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:48 GMT
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