Benevento v Catanzaro match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Benevento are slight favourites with a 51% chance of victory against Catanzaro in a Serie B match. The model expects 2.93 goals, with Benevento holding a 0.59 expected goals advantage. Benevento enter on strong form (four wins in five), while Catanzaro have managed just one win across their last five outings.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

51%Benevento win
25%Draw
24%Catanzaro win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Benevento

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

Catanzaro

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Catanzaro without a win in their last 5 away games.
Both teams scored in 8 of Benevento's last 10 home league games.
Both teams scored in 7 of Catanzaro's last 10 away league games.

Home and away

Benevento

Benevento at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

DrawnVicenza Virtus17 Oct 20262–2
WonCesena10 Oct 20262–0
WonHellas Verona11 Sep 20263–1
DrawnSudtirol30 Aug 20261–1
LostModena22 Aug 20261–2

Benevento: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 15 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 6 of 10
Clean sheets: 2 of 10

Catanzaro

Catanzaro away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

DrawnHellas Verona16 Oct 20262–2
LostSampdoria19 Sep 20261–2
LostSudtirol5 Sep 20260–2
LostPisa30 Aug 20261–2
LostVicenza Virtus21 Aug 20262–3

Catanzaro: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 12 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Benevento

Last match: 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Arezzo · Serie B · Italy
Next match: 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Cremonese · Serie B · Italy

Catanzaro

Last match: 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Ascoli · Serie B · Italy
Next match: 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Padova · Serie B · Italy

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 27 Oct 2026, 16:58 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures