Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 27 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Borussia Dortmund host Werder Bremen in a fixture where the model gives Dortmund a 64% chance of winning, with the visitors having a 16% chance. Expected goals total 3.39 with a gap of 1.17 in Dortmund's favour. Dortmund have won two of their last five matches, while Bremen are winless in their last four outings.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 64%Borussia Dortmund win
- 20%Draw
- 16%Werder Bremen win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Borussia Dortmund won 45 of 61 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- Werder Bremen won 18 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
- Borussia Dortmund won 5 of the last 9 meetings.
- Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
9 meetings: Borussia Dortmund 5, draws 3, Werder Bremen 1
Goals: Borussia Dortmund 16, Werder Bremen 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder BremenBundesliga | 2–2 |
| 16 May 2026 | Werder Bremen v Borussia DortmundBundesliga | 0–2 |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder BremenBundesliga | 3–0 |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder BremenBundesliga | 2–2 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Werder Bremen v Borussia DortmundBundesliga | 0–0 |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Werder Bremen v Borussia DortmundBundesliga | 1–2 |
| 20 Oct 2023 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder BremenBundesliga | 1–0 |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Werder Bremen v Borussia DortmundBundesliga | 0–2 |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Borussia Dortmund v Werder BremenBundesliga | 2–3 |
Home and away
Borussia Dortmund at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga24 Oct 20261–0
- DrawnWerder BremenBundesliga9 Oct 20262–2
- WonSC Paderborn 07Bundesliga12 Sep 20263–0
- WonVillarrealUEFA Champions League8 Sep 20263–2
- WonHamburger SVBundesliga29 Aug 20262–0
Borussia Dortmund: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 22 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
Werder Bremen away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonFSV Mainz 05Bundesliga24 Oct 20263–2
- DrawnBorussia DortmundBundesliga9 Oct 20262–2
- Drawn1. FC KölnBundesliga12 Sep 20261–1
- LostSC FreiburgBundesliga30 Aug 20261–4
- WonLüneburger SK Hansa22 Aug 20263–0
Werder Bremen: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Bayern München · Bundesliga
- Last match
- 3 days before24 Oct 2026 · v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 4 days after31 Oct 2026 · v 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Borussia Dortmund
Since 2 Nov 2024
| Score | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 45 won, 14 drawn, 2 lost in 61 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 2 drawn, 19 lost in 28 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 24 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 31 matches |
| Level at half-time | 13 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 23 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 17 won, 8 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 20 won, 10 drawn, 1 lost in 31 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 30 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 15 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 7 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 36 won, 16 drawn, 17 lost in 69 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 20 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 24 won, 13 drawn, 9 lost in 46 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|
| All matches | 51 scored, 32 conceded (91) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 27 scored, 15 conceded (48) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 14 scored, 8 conceded (22) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 9 conceded (21) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 16Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Werder Bremen
Since 3 Nov 2024
| Score | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 8 drawn, 26 lost in 38 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 14 won, 11 drawn, 17 lost in 42 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 7 won, 10 drawn, 12 lost in 29 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|
| All matches | 32 scored, 25 conceded (67) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 5 conceded (20) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 15 scored, 16 conceded (34) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 27 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since
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