Botafogo v Atletico-MG match analysis
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This analysis was locked at kick-off on Thu 5 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Botafogo's home advantage gives them a 44% chance of victory according to our model, with Atletico-MG at 28% and a draw at 28%. Both teams are struggling for form, with Botafogo winning only one of their last five and Atletico-MG one of their last five (though with two consecutive wins). Expected total output is 2.61 goals, with Botafogo holding a 0.31-goal advantage.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 44%Botafogo win
- 28%Draw
- 28%Atletico-MG win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
BotafogoLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- lost1–2at Remo
- lost0–3at Internacional
- won1–0v Chapecoense-sc
- drew1–1at Coritiba
- lost1–2v Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MGLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- lost0–1v Cruzeiro
- lost2–3at Flamengo
- lost0–2at Atletico Torque
- won1–0v Coritiba
- won3–0v Atletico Torque
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Botafogo won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
- Atletico-MG without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Botafogo's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Botafogo 5, draws 2, Atletico-MG 3
Goals: Botafogo 12, Atletico-MG 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Atletico-MG v Botafogo | 1–1 |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Botafogo v Atletico-MG | 1–0 |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Atletico-MG v Botafogo | 1–0 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Atletico-MG v BotafogoCONMEBOL Libertadores | 1–3 |
| 21 Nov 2024 | Atletico-MG v Botafogo | 0–0 |
| 8 Jul 2024 | Botafogo v Atletico-MG | 3–0 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Atletico-MG v Botafogo | 1–0 |
| 7 May 2023 | Botafogo v Atletico-MG | 2–0 |
| 7 Nov 2022 | Atletico-MG v Botafogo | 0–2 |
| 17 Jul 2022 | Botafogo v Atletico-MG | 0–1 |
Home and away
BotafogoBotafogo at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonChapecoense-sc17 Oct 20261–0
- LostVasco DA Gama8 Oct 20261–2
- WonGremio16 Sep 20263–2
- DrawnRB Bragantino13 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnPalmeiras6 Sep 20260–0
Botafogo: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG away
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- LostFlamengo26 Oct 20262–3
- LostAtletico TorqueCONMEBOL Sudamericana21 Oct 20260–2
- DrawnAtletico Paranaense9 Oct 20262–2
- LostSantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana9 Sep 20260–2
- LostSao Paulo5 Sep 20260–2
Atletico-MG: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Botafogo- Last match
- 7 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Remo · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 14 days after19 Nov 2026 · v Corinthians · Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG- Last match
- 4 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Gremio · Copa Do Brasil
- Next match
- 2 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Gremio · Copa Do Brasil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- J. Barrera (Ankle Injury) · Danilo Santos (Injury) · Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- Arthur Chaves (Inactive)
- Ruled out
- T. Borbas (Muscle Injury) · M. Cassierra (Muscle Injury) · Fred (Muscle Injury) · Reinier (Injury) · Ruan Tressoldi (Muscle Injury)
Published 4 Nov 2026, 23:28 GMT · not changed since
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