Burgos v Castellón match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Burgos and Castellón are rated as near-identical in this contest, with the model giving both sides 35% chances of victory and a 30% chance of a draw. Burgos have momentum from three consecutive wins, though they lost twice earlier in their run; Castellón have won three of their last five. Expected goals are 1.16 for Burgos and 1.18 for Castellón, a gap of 0.02 in Castellón's favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 35%Burgos win
- 30%Draw
- 35%Castellón win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
BurgosLast 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
- won4–2at Laredo
- won3–2at FC Andorra
- won1–0v Sabadell
- lost0–1v Granada CF
- lost1–2at Almeria
CastellónLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won3–0at Conquense
- won4–0v Sporting Gijon
- won3–0at Las Palmas
- lost0–1at FC Andorra
- drew1–1v AD Ceuta FC
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Castellón won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Burgos's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Burgos 0, draws 1, Castellón 3
Goals: Burgos 2, Castellón 7
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Castellón v Burgos | 3–1 |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Burgos v Castellón | 0–0 |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Castellón v Burgos | 2–1 |
| 1 Sep 2024 | Burgos v Castellón | 0–2 |
Home and away
BurgosBurgos at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonSabadell18 Oct 20261–0
- LostGranada CF12 Oct 20260–1
- WonEldense27 Sep 20261–0
- WonAD Ceuta FC11 Sep 20263–1
- DrawnReal Sociedad II31 Aug 20262–2
Burgos: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 7 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
CastellónCastellón away
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonConquenseCopa del Rey29 Oct 20263–0
- WonLas Palmas17 Oct 20263–0
- LostFC Andorra11 Oct 20260–1
- WonLeganes28 Sep 20262–0
- WonGirona12 Sep 20262–1
Castellón: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Burgos- Last match
- 3 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Laredo · Copa del Rey
- Next match
- 6 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Celta de Vigo II · Segunda División
Castellón- Last match
- 3 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Conquense · Copa del Rey
- Next match
- 13 days after14 Nov 2026 · v Valladolid · Segunda División
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 1 Nov 2026, 16:27 GMT · not changed since
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