Burgos v Celta de Vigo II match analysis
Our selection
PRO members see our selection for this match.
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Burgos are favoured at home with a 57% chance of victory according to the model, while draws are rated at 25% and a Celta de Vigo II away win at 17%. Expected goals of 2.6 suggest modest scoring, with Burgos projected at 1.72 and Celta II at 0.88—a gap of 0.84 in the hosts' favour. Both sides have choppy recent form with no clear momentum.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 57%Burgos win
- 25%Draw
- 18%Celta de Vigo II win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- drew1–1v Castellón
- won4–2at Laredo
- won3–2at FC Andorra
- won1–0v Sabadell
- lost0–1v Granada CF
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- drew2–2v Cordoba
- lost1–5at Girona
- drew1–1v Tenerife
- won4–1v Real Sociedad II
- lost2–3at Sporting Gijon
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Burgos's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
Burgos at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnCastellón1 Nov 20261–1
- WonSabadell18 Oct 20261–0
- LostGranada CF12 Oct 20260–1
- WonEldense27 Sep 20261–0
- WonAD Ceuta FC11 Sep 20263–1
Burgos: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Celta de Vigo II away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostGirona24 Oct 20261–5
- LostSporting Gijon4 Oct 20262–3
- LostAlmeria20 Sep 20260–2
- WonAD Ceuta FC5 Sep 20262–0
- DrawnCadiz15 Aug 20260–0
Celta de Vigo II: away league games
Last 5 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 5 scored, 10 conceded in 5
- Both teams scored
- 2 of 5
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Castellón · Segunda División
- Next match
- 6 days after13 Nov 2026 · v Leganes · Segunda División
- Last match
- 7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Cordoba · Segunda División
- Next match
- 9 days after16 Nov 2026 · v Albacete · Segunda División
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 7 Nov 2026, 11:57 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures