Carrarese v Modena match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Modena have a 36% win probability to Carrarese's 34% in the model's assessment, though a draw at 30% remains likely. Both teams are expected to contribute roughly equally in attack, with 2.32 goals projected overall.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 34%Carrarese win
- 30%Draw
- 36%Modena win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
CarrareseLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
ModenaLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Modena won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
- Carrarese without a win in their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Modena's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
4 meetings: Carrarese 1, draws 1, Modena 2
Goals: Carrarese 2, Modena 5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Modena v Carrarese | 2–0 |
| 1 Oct 2025 | Carrarese v Modena | 0–0 |
| 4 May 2025 | Carrarese v Modena | 2–1 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Modena v Carrarese | 2–0 |
Home and away
CarrareseCarrarese at home
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostBenevento19 Sep 20260–1
- LostEmpoli5 Sep 20260–1
- LostMantova22 Aug 20261–2
- DrawnCesena1 May 20260–0
- DrawnPescara19 Apr 20262–2
Carrarese: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
ModenaModena away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnSudtirol12 Sep 20261–1
- WonCremonese28 Aug 20263–0
- WonBenevento22 Aug 20262–1
- LostVeneziaCoppa Italia15 Aug 20262–3
- LostAvellino8 May 20260–1
Modena: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Carrarese- Last match
- 6 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Padova · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 8 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Palermo · Serie B · Italy
Modena- Last match
- 6 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Hellas Verona · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Cesena · Serie B · Italy
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 17 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since
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