Catanzaro v Padova match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Catanzaro hold a 48% chance of victory at home, with the model rating their attacking threat considerably higher than Padova's despite recent form concerns for both sides. Expected goals total 2.63. Catanzaro won 3-1 in their most recent head-to-head, though Padova took a 1-0 away victory in their prior meeting.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 48%Catanzaro win
- 27%Draw
- 25%Padova win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
CatanzaroLast 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
- drew1–1at Benevento
- lost1–6v Ascoli
- drew2–2at Hellas Verona
- lost1–3v Mantova
- lost1–2at Sampdoria
PadovaLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- won2–0v Sudtirol
- won1–0at Avellino
- lost1–2v Virtus Entella
- lost0–2v Carrarese
- lost1–2at Palermo
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Catanzaro won 19 of 36 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Feb 2025.
- Padova won 15 of 23 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Aug 2025.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Catanzaro's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Catanzaro 1, draws 0, Padova 1
Goals: Catanzaro 3, Padova 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Padova v Catanzaro | 1–3 |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Catanzaro v Padova | 0–1 |
Home and away
CatanzaroCatanzaro at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostAscoli24 Oct 20261–6
- LostMantova11 Oct 20261–3
- WonCarrarese12 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnSudtirolCoppa Italia15 Aug 20262–2 PEN
- LostMonza24 May 20260–2
Catanzaro: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
PadovaPadova away
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonAvellino24 Oct 20261–0
- LostPalermo19 Sep 20261–2
- LostCremonese6 Sep 20261–3
- WonPisa23 Aug 20261–0
- LostUdineseCoppa Italia15 Aug 20260–1
Padova: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Catanzaro- Last match
- 4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Benevento · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Cesena · Serie B · Italy
Padova- Last match
- 4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Sudtirol · Serie B · Italy
- Next match
- 7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Empoli · Serie B · Italy
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Catanzaro
Since 23 Feb 2025
| Score | Catanzaro | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost in 36 matches | 344 won, 141 drawn, 75 lost in 560 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 10 drawn, 14 lost in 28 matches | 75 won, 141 drawn, 344 lost in 560 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost in 28 matches | 156 won, 212 drawn, 156 lost in 524 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 4 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 23 matches | 114 won, 212 drawn, 114 lost in 440 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 6 won, 11 drawn, 7 lost in 24 matches | 84 won, 224 drawn, 84 lost in 392 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 2 won, 14 drawn, 6 lost in 22 matches | 57 won, 258 drawn, 57 lost in 372 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 18 won, 15 drawn, 19 lost in 52 matches | 315 won, 302 drawn, 315 lost in 932 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 12 drawn, 16 lost in 40 matches | 221 won, 244 drawn, 221 lost in 686 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Catanzaro | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 20 scored, 28 conceded (68) | 364 scored, 364 conceded (1206) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 11 conceded (26) | 127 scored, 135 conceded (412) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 12 conceded (22) | 102 scored, 102 conceded (382) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 5 conceded (20) | 135 scored, 127 conceded (412) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 20(league sides: 641 times, within 15 minutes 123, by full time 302)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Padova
Since 10 Aug 2025
| Score | Padova | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 15 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches | 344 won, 141 drawn, 75 lost in 560 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 6 drawn, 18 lost in 25 matches | 75 won, 141 drawn, 344 lost in 560 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches | 156 won, 212 drawn, 156 lost in 524 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches | 114 won, 212 drawn, 114 lost in 440 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 6 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches | 84 won, 224 drawn, 84 lost in 392 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 14 won, 9 drawn, 17 lost in 40 matches | 315 won, 302 drawn, 315 lost in 932 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 10 won, 3 drawn, 12 lost in 25 matches | 221 won, 244 drawn, 221 lost in 686 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Padova | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 12 conceded (49) | 364 scored, 364 conceded (1206) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 9 conceded (21) | 102 scored, 102 conceded (382) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 24 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 10(league sides: 641 times, within 15 minutes 123, by full time 302)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Catanzaro and Padova
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 31 Oct 2026, 15:12 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures