Celtic v Dundee Utd match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Celtic are strong favourites at home, with the model giving them a 78% chance of winning. The hosts have won three of their last five meetings against Dundee Utd. Celtic scored 2.65 expected goals against Dundee Utd's 0.77, with a gap of 1.88 in Celtic's favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 78%Celtic win
- 15%Draw
- 7%Dundee Utd win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
CelticLast 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
Dundee UtdLast 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Celtic won 51 of 60 matches in which they scored first, since 30 Oct 2024.
- Dundee Utd won 19 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 30 Oct 2024.
- Celtic won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Celtic's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Celtic 7, draws 1, Dundee Utd 2
Goals: Celtic 30, Dundee Utd 6
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Dundee Utd v Celtic | 2–0 |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Celtic v Dundee Utd | 4–0 |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Dundee Utd v Celtic | 2–1 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Dundee Utd v Celtic | 0–5 |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Celtic v Dundee Utd | 3–0 |
| 8 Jan 2025 | Celtic v Dundee Utd | 2–0 |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Dundee Utd v Celtic | 0–0 |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Dundee Utd v Celtic | 0–2 |
| 5 Nov 2022 | Celtic v Dundee Utd | 4–2 |
| 28 Aug 2022 | Dundee Utd v Celtic | 0–9 |
Home and away
CelticCeltic at home
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- LostCelta VigoUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20261–2
- WonHeart Of Midlothian18 Oct 20267–1
- LostRangers20 Sep 20260–1
- LostFerencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20261–3
- WonAberdeen2 Sep 20263–0
Celtic: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 26 scored, 7 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Dundee UtdDundee Utd away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnST Johnstone17 Oct 20261–1
- WonST Mirren19 Sep 20263–0
- LostMotherwell2 Sep 20260–3
- WonKilmarnock29 Aug 20264–0
- LostHeart Of Midlothian9 Aug 20260–4
Dundee Utd: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 20 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Celtic- Last match
- 3 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Hibernian · Premiership
- Next match
- 4 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Falkirk · Premiership
Dundee Utd- Last match
- 4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Aberdeen · Premiership
- Next match
- 10 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Motherwell · Premiership
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 30 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Celtic
| Score | Celtic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 51 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 60 matches | 490 won, 142 drawn, 86 lost in 718 matches |
| Conceded first | 12 won, 4 drawn, 19 lost in 35 matches | 86 won, 142 drawn, 490 lost in 718 matches |
| 2+ goals up at half-time | 19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 124 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 136 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 24 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches | 240 won, 73 drawn, 47 lost in 360 matches |
| Level at half-time | 17 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 32 matches | 162 won, 208 drawn, 162 lost in 532 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 27 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches | 177 won, 12 drawn, 1 lost in 190 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 20 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 23 matches | 234 won, 73 drawn, 25 lost in 332 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 13 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches | 139 won, 202 drawn, 139 lost in 480 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 29 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches | 217 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 228 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 22 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 224 won, 63 drawn, 14 lost in 301 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 12 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches | 119 won, 228 drawn, 119 lost in 466 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 32 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 32 matches | 245 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 250 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 21 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 237 won, 62 drawn, 9 lost in 308 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 10 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 85 won, 238 drawn, 85 lost in 408 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 43 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 66 matches | 399 won, 300 drawn, 399 lost in 1098 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 23 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 29 matches | 211 won, 54 drawn, 43 lost in 308 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 25 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 41 matches | 261 won, 246 drawn, 261 lost in 768 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Celtic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 43 scored, 15 conceded (100) | 512 scored, 512 conceded (1524) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 22 scored, 6 conceded (54) | 206 scored, 163 conceded (551) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 3 conceded (23) | 143 scored, 143 conceded (422) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 6 conceded (23) | 163 scored, 206 conceded (551) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 24(league sides: 819 times, within 15 minutes 114, by full time 363)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Dundee Utd
| Score | Dundee Utd | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 34 matches | 490 won, 142 drawn, 86 lost in 718 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 7 drawn, 26 lost in 39 matches | 86 won, 142 drawn, 490 lost in 718 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 26 matches | 162 won, 208 drawn, 162 lost in 532 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 3 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 22 matches | 47 won, 73 drawn, 240 lost in 360 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 12 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost in 31 matches | 139 won, 202 drawn, 139 lost in 480 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 16 drawn, 6 lost in 31 matches | 119 won, 228 drawn, 119 lost in 466 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 7 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches | 85 won, 238 drawn, 85 lost in 408 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 20 drawn, 24 lost in 61 matches | 399 won, 300 drawn, 399 lost in 1098 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 14 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches | 261 won, 246 drawn, 261 lost in 768 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Dundee Utd | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 21 scored, 23 conceded (77) | 512 scored, 512 conceded (1524) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 8 conceded (23) | 206 scored, 163 conceded (551) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 6 conceded (25) | 143 scored, 143 conceded (422) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 9 conceded (29) | 163 scored, 206 conceded (551) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 19(league sides: 819 times, within 15 minutes 114, by full time 363)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 5 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Celtic and Dundee Utd
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 28 Oct 2026, 18:42 GMT · not changed since
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