LEDGER
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Premiership
Celtic
16:00
Kilmarnock
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 13 · Celtic Park, Glasgow

Celtic v Kilmarnock · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Celtic win

The model gives Celtic an 83% chance of winning at home against Kilmarnock, with expected goals of 3.04 and 0.77 respectively. Celtic have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings with one draw. Kilmarnock are winless in four of their last five matches, while Celtic have been more consistent with two wins in their last five.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 83%Celtic win
  • 12%Draw
  • 5%Kilmarnock win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

CelticCeltic

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won3–2v Beşiktaş
  2. lost0–2at Falkirk
  3. drew2–2v Dundee Utd
  4. won2–1at Hibernian
  5. lost1–2v Celta Vigo
KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. drew2–2v ST Johnstone
  2. lost1–3at Dundee
  3. lost0–3at Falkirk
  4. won3–2v Motherwell
  5. lost1–3at Rangers

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Celtic won 50 of 60 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Kilmarnock won 19 of 29 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Celtic won 8 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Celtic's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Celtic 8, draws 1, Kilmarnock 1

Goals: Celtic 32, Kilmarnock 8

DateMatchScore
9 Aug 2026Kilmarnock v Celtic1–5
15 Feb 2026Kilmarnock v Celtic2–3
9 Nov 2025Celtic v Kilmarnock4–0
14 Sep 2025Kilmarnock v Celtic1–2
12 Apr 2025Celtic v Kilmarnock5–1
10 Nov 2024Kilmarnock v Celtic0–2
4 Aug 2024Celtic v Kilmarnock4–0
15 May 2024Kilmarnock v Celtic0–5
17 Feb 2024Celtic v Kilmarnock1–1
10 Dec 2023Kilmarnock v Celtic2–1

Home and away

Celtic

Celtic at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonBeşiktaşUEFA Europa League5 Nov 20263–2
  • DrawnDundee Utd28 Oct 20262–2
  • LostCelta VigoUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20261–2
  • WonHeart Of Midlothian18 Oct 20267–1
  • LostRangers20 Sep 20260–1

Celtic: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
25 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostDundee28 Oct 20261–3
  • LostFalkirk24 Oct 20260–3
  • LostRangers10 Oct 20261–3
  • WonHibernian15 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnAberdeen5 Sep 20260–0

Kilmarnock: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Celtic
Last match
3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v Beşiktaş · UEFA Europa League
Next match
13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v ST Mirren · Premiership
Kilmarnock
Last match
8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v ST Johnstone · Premiership
Next match
13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Aberdeen · Premiership

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 10 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Celtic

ScoreCelticLeague sides
Scored first50 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 60 matches494 won, 147 drawn, 86 lost in 727 matches
Conceded first12 won, 4 drawn, 20 lost in 36 matches86 won, 147 drawn, 494 lost in 727 matches
2+ goals up at half-time19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches125 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 137 matches
1 goal up at half-time23 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches241 won, 76 drawn, 47 lost in 364 matches
Level at half-time17 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 32 matches164 won, 212 drawn, 164 lost in 540 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes27 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches178 won, 12 drawn, 1 lost in 191 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes18 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches235 won, 77 drawn, 25 lost in 337 matches
Level after 60 minutes13 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches141 won, 204 drawn, 141 lost in 486 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes28 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches218 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 229 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes21 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches225 won, 65 drawn, 14 lost in 304 matches
Level after 70 minutes13 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches121 won, 234 drawn, 121 lost in 476 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes30 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 30 matches246 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 251 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes22 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches238 won, 65 drawn, 9 lost in 312 matches
Level after 80 minutes10 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches87 won, 242 drawn, 87 lost in 416 matches
Level after 15 minutes42 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 66 matches402 won, 308 drawn, 402 lost in 1112 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes23 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 29 matches212 won, 57 drawn, 43 lost in 312 matches
Level after 30 minutes25 won, 10 drawn, 7 lost in 42 matches264 won, 250 drawn, 264 lost in 778 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreCelticLeague sides
All matches45 scored, 16 conceded (101)519 scored, 519 conceded (1542)
When leading after 75 minutes22 scored, 6 conceded (52)206 scored, 165 conceded (555)
When level after 75 minutes18 scored, 4 conceded (25)148 scored, 148 conceded (432)
When trailing after 75 minutes5 scored, 6 conceded (24)165 scored, 206 conceded (555)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 25(league sides: 830 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 372)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Kilmarnock

ScoreKilmarnockLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 29 matches494 won, 147 drawn, 86 lost in 727 matches
Conceded first2 won, 8 drawn, 34 lost in 44 matches86 won, 147 drawn, 494 lost in 727 matches
1 goal up at half-time16 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches241 won, 76 drawn, 47 lost in 364 matches
Level at half-time3 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 21 matches164 won, 212 drawn, 164 lost in 540 matches
Level after 60 minutes4 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches141 won, 204 drawn, 141 lost in 486 matches
Level after 70 minutes2 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 21 matches121 won, 234 drawn, 121 lost in 476 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 16 drawn, 22 lost in 52 matches402 won, 308 drawn, 402 lost in 1112 matches
Level after 30 minutes7 won, 12 drawn, 13 lost in 32 matches264 won, 250 drawn, 264 lost in 778 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreKilmarnockLeague sides
All matches19 scored, 34 conceded (77)519 scored, 519 conceded (1542)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 9 conceded (24)206 scored, 165 conceded (555)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 13 conceded (35)165 scored, 206 conceded (555)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 18(league sides: 830 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 372)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 5 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Celtic and Kilmarnock

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:03 GMT

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