Serie A · BrazilMon 12 Oct 2026 · 23:30 BSTMatchday 30

Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Paranaense match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 12 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Atletico Paranaense hold a higher win probability at 39% compared to Chapecoense's 34% in this Serie A clash. The hosts face significant injury concerns with six players ruled out, which could disrupt their preparations for the match.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 34%Chapecoense-sc win
  • 27%Draw
  • 39%Atletico Paranaense win

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Form · newest first

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

Last 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Atletico Paranaense won 2 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Chapecoense-sc's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

5 meetings: Chapecoense-sc 0, draws 3, Atletico Paranaense 2

Goals: Chapecoense-sc 6, Atletico Paranaense 9

DateMatchScore
12 Apr 2026Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense-sc2–0
17 Sep 2025Chapecoense-sc v Atletico ParanaenseSerie B · Brazil2–3
9 May 2025Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense-scSerie B · Brazil1–1
13 Oct 2021Chapecoense-sc v Atletico Paranaense1–1
28 Jun 2021Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense-sc2–2

Home and away

Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc at home

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostInternacional12 Sep 20261–2
  • WonSao Paulo23 Aug 20261–0
  • DrawnBahia16 Aug 20263–3
  • LostFlamengo23 Jul 20260–4
  • LostRemo17 May 20262–3

Chapecoense-sc: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 23 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnCoritiba12 Sep 20263–3
  • LostCruzeiro6 Sep 20261–3
  • WonBotafogo25 Aug 20263–2
  • WonSantos9 Aug 20262–0
  • DrawnCorinthians30 Jul 20260–0

Atletico Paranaense: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Chapecoense-sc
Last match
5 days before8 Oct 2026 · v Vitoria · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
5 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Botafogo · Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
Last match
4 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
5 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Palmeiras · Serie A · Brazil

Injuries and suspensions

  • Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
    Ruled out
    Fernando (Yellow Cards) · Heitor (Hamstring Injury) · Max Alves (Back Injury) · Rafael Carvalheira (Knee Injury) · Robert Conceicao (Knee Injury) · Vinicius Balieiro (Knee Injury)
  • Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
    Ruled out
    G. Benavidez (Muscle Injury) · Dantas (Inactive)

Published 12 Oct 2026, 22:27 BST · not changed since

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