Corinthians v Mirassol match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 30 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Corinthians host Mirassol with the model giving the home side a 41% chance of victory, compared to a 29% probability each for a draw or away win. The hosts have lost four of their last five matches and will be without eight players, including Depay and Gabriel Paulista; Mirassol are near full strength with two unavailable. Expected goals favour Corinthians at 1.31 to 1.09, a gap of 0.22.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 42%Corinthians win
- 29%Draw
- 29%Mirassol win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
CorinthiansLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost2–3at Vasco DA Gama
- drew1–1v Vitoria
- lost1–4at Palmeiras
- lost1–2at Internacional
- lost1–3v Fluminense
MirassolLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- drew1–1v Sao Paulo
- won2–0v Internacional
- lost0–1at Bahia
- drew1–1at RB Bragantino
- won2–0v Botafogo
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Mirassol won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- Corinthians without a win in their last 5 home games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Mirassol's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
3 meetings: Corinthians 1, draws 0, Mirassol 2
Goals: Corinthians 5, Mirassol 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 May 2026 | Mirassol v Corinthians | 2–1 |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Corinthians v Mirassol | 3–0 |
| 10 May 2025 | Mirassol v Corinthians | 2–1 |
Home and away
CorinthiansCorinthians at home
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- DrawnVitoria20 Oct 20261–1
- LostFluminense20 Sep 20261–3
- LostEstudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores17 Sep 20260–1
- LostChapecoense-sc6 Sep 20261–2
- LostSantos30 Aug 20260–1
Corinthians: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
MirassolMirassol away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostBahia11 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnRB Bragantino7 Oct 20261–1
- WonCoritiba6 Sep 20262–1
- LostFlamengo2 Sep 20260–2
- DrawnSantos23 Aug 20261–1
Mirassol: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 7 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Corinthians- Last match
- 6 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Vasco DA Gama · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 6 days after5 Nov 2026 · v Sao Paulo · Serie A · Brazil
Mirassol- Last match
- 6 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Sao Paulo · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 4 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Chapecoense-sc · Serie A · Brazil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Alex Santana (Inactive) · A. Carrillo (Inactive) · M. Depay (Inactive) · Gabriel Paulista (Inactive) · Kayke (Knee Injury) · Z. Labyad (Knee Injury) · J. Lingard (Yellow Cards) · Raniele (Inactive) · Vitinho (Inactive)
- Ruled out
- Negueba (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- Jose Aldo (Muscle Injury)
Published 30 Oct 2026, 22:42 GMT · not changed since
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