Coritiba v Botafogo match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 12 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Coritiba are slight favourites with a 40.5% win probability, but the model sees a competitive match with Botafogo at 32.1%. The expected total of 2.74 goals reflects an evenly matched encounter, though both teams face significant injury absences.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%Coritiba win
- 27%Draw
- 32%Botafogo win
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Form · newest first
CoritibaLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
BotafogoLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Botafogo won 4 of the last 7 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Coritiba's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Coritiba's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
7 meetings: Coritiba 1, draws 2, Botafogo 4
Goals: Coritiba 5, Botafogo 12
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Botafogo v Coritiba | 2–2 |
| 30 Nov 2023 | Coritiba v Botafogo | 1–1 |
| 30 Jul 2023 | Botafogo v Coritiba | 4–1 |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Botafogo v Coritiba | 2–0 |
| 29 May 2022 | Coritiba v Botafogo | 1–0 |
| 28 Aug 2021 | Coritiba v BotafogoSerie B · Brazil | 0–1 |
| 6 Jun 2021 | Botafogo v CoritibaSerie B · Brazil | 2–0 |
Home and away
CoritibaCoritiba at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnAtletico Paranaense12 Sep 20263–3
- LostMirassol6 Sep 20261–2
- WonCorinthians23 Aug 20262–1
- WonChapecoense-sc9 Aug 20262–1
- LostCruzeiro31 Jul 20260–1
Coritiba: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
BotafogoBotafogo away
Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost
- LostMirassol19 Sep 20260–2
- LostFlamengo30 Aug 20260–3
- LostVitoria16 Aug 20260–1
- LostCiencianoCONMEBOL Sudamericana14 Aug 20261–6
- WonCruzeiro26 Jul 20261–0
Botafogo: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Coritiba- Last match
- 3 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Fluminense · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 5 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo- Last match
- 5 days before8 Oct 2026 · v Vasco DA Gama · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 5 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Chapecoense-sc · Serie A · Brazil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Bruno Melo (Yellow Cards) · Keno (Knee Injury) · Lucas Ronier (Knee Injury) · Lucas Taverna (Inactive) · Pedro Morisco (Inactive) · Tiago Coser (Inactive)
- Doubtful
- Jacy (Injury) · B. Ocampo (Ankle Injury)
- Ruled out
- J. Barrera (Ankle Injury) · Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury)
Published 12 Oct 2026, 18:57 BST · not changed since
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