Coritiba v Gremio match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 26 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Coritiba host Gremio with the model giving the home side a 41% chance of winning, Gremio 30% and a draw 28%. Expected goals total 2.53 with Coritiba showing a 0.21 gap in their favour. Both teams are in poor form: Coritiba have won once in five matches, while Gremio have one draw from their last five. Gremio are without suspended defender Walter Kannemann and have two further players doubtful.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%Coritiba win
- 29%Draw
- 30%Gremio win
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Form · newest first
CoritibaLast 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
GremioLast 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Gremio won 3 of the last 3 meetings.
- Gremio without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Coritiba's last 10 home league games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Gremio's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
3 meetings: Coritiba 0, draws 0, Gremio 3
Goals: Coritiba 2, Gremio 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Gremio v Coritiba | 1–0 |
| 1 Nov 2023 | Coritiba v Gremio | 1–2 |
| 25 Jun 2023 | Gremio v Coritiba | 5–1 |
Home and away
CoritibaCoritiba at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnBotafogo12 Oct 20261–1
- DrawnAtletico Paranaense12 Sep 20263–3
- LostMirassol6 Sep 20261–2
- WonCorinthians23 Aug 20262–1
- WonChapecoense-sc9 Aug 20262–1
Coritiba: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
GremioGremio away
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- DrawnRemo7 Oct 20261–1
- LostBotafogo16 Sep 20262–3
- LostVitoria8 Sep 20260–1
- LostRB Bragantino23 Aug 20260–1
- LostAtletico-MG16 Aug 20260–3
Gremio: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 5 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Coritiba- Last match
- 9 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 5 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Vitoria · Serie A · Brazil
Gremio- Last match
- 8 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Cruzeiro · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 4 days after30 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Paranaense · Serie A · Brazil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Lucas Ronier (Knee Injury) · Thiago Santos (Yellow Cards)
- Doubtful
- Lucas Taverna (Inactive) · Richard (Inactive)
- Ruled out
- J. Cabral (Inactive) · Danilo Barbosa (Injury) · B. G. Joao Pedro (Injury) · J. Nardoni (Inactive) · Walter Kannemann (Red Card)
- Doubtful
- Matheus Nascimento (Inactive) · Wallace (Inactive)
Published 26 Oct 2026, 21:28 GMT · not changed since
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