Coritiba v Vitoria match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Coritiba a 42% chance of winning at home, with Vitória at 29% and a draw at 29%. Expected goals total 2.43, with Coritiba holding a 0.25 advantage. Both sides are in poor recent form: Coritiba have lost three of their last five, while Vitória have won just one in five, though they did defeat Coritiba 4-1 in their last meeting.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 42%Coritiba win
- 29%Draw
- 29%Vitoria win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost0–1v Gremio
- lost0–1at Atletico-MG
- drew1–1v Botafogo
- lost0–4at Fluminense
- lost0–5at Vasco DA Gama
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- drew1–1v Atletico Paranaense
- drew1–1at Corinthians
- lost1–2at Sao Paulo
- won4–0v Chapecoense-sc
- lost1–3v Cruzeiro
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Vitoria without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Coritiba's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Coritiba's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
3 meetings: Coritiba 1, draws 1, Vitoria 1
Goals: Coritiba 2, Vitoria 4
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Vitoria v Coritiba | 4–1 |
| 22 Sep 2021 | Vitoria v CoritibaSerie B · Brazil | 0–0 |
| 23 Jun 2021 | Coritiba v VitoriaSerie B · Brazil | 1–0 |
Home and away
Coritiba at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostGremio26 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnBotafogo12 Oct 20261–1
- DrawnAtletico Paranaense12 Sep 20263–3
- LostMirassol6 Sep 20261–2
- WonCorinthians23 Aug 20262–1
Coritiba: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 10
Vitoria away
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- DrawnCorinthians20 Oct 20261–1
- LostSao Paulo11 Oct 20261–2
- DrawnMirassol13 Sep 20262–2
- LostAtletico-MG29 Aug 20261–2
- LostFlamengo9 Aug 20260–2
Vitoria: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 8 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 5 days before26 Oct 2026 · v Gremio · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 4 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Internacional · Serie A · Brazil
- Last match
- 7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Paranaense · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 6 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Fluminense · Serie A · Brazil
Injuries and suspensions
Coritiba
- Ruled out
- Lucas Ronier (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- Lucas Taverna (Inactive)
Vitoria
- Ruled out
- Baralhas (Broken Leg) · Camutanga (Broken Leg) · Dudu (Back Injury) · Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) · Fabiano (Knee Injury) · Luan Candido (Yellow Cards) · Marinho (Red Card) · Nathan Mendes (Knee Injury) · Ramon (Leg Injury) · Riccieli (Calf Injury)
Published 31 Oct 2026, 17:58 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures