Cruzeiro v Bahia match analysis
Our selection
PRO members see our selection for this match.
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 6 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Cruzeiro host Bahia in a fixture where the model gives the home side a 53% chance of winning, with a 26% chance of a draw and a 21% chance for Bahia. Cruzeiro have won four of their last five matches, while Bahia are inconsistent with two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five. Expected goals favour Cruzeiro at 1.66 to 1.00, a gap of 0.66 in their favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 53%Cruzeiro win
- 26%Draw
- 21%Bahia win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
CruzeiroLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- won1–0at Atletico-MG
- won1–0v Remo
- won4–2at Gremio
- lost2–4at RB Bragantino
- won2–0v Sao Paulo
BahiaLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- won3–2v Sao Paulo
- drew1–1at Santos
- lost0–3v Flamengo
- won1–0v Mirassol
- lost0–1at Palmeiras
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Cruzeiro won 5 of the last 9 meetings.
- Cruzeiro unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Bahia's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
9 meetings: Cruzeiro 5, draws 2, Bahia 2
Goals: Cruzeiro 15, Bahia 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Bahia v Cruzeiro | 1–2 |
| 16 Sep 2025 | Bahia v Cruzeiro | 1–2 |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Cruzeiro v Bahia | 3–0 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Cruzeiro v Bahia | 1–1 |
| 23 Jun 2024 | Bahia v Cruzeiro | 4–1 |
| 26 Oct 2023 | Cruzeiro v Bahia | 3–0 |
| 10 Jun 2023 | Bahia v Cruzeiro | 2–2 |
| 23 Jul 2022 | Cruzeiro v BahiaSerie B · Brazil | 1–0 |
| 9 Apr 2022 | Bahia v CruzeiroSerie B · Brazil | 2–0 |
Home and away
CruzeiroCruzeiro at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonRemo24 Oct 20261–0
- WonSao Paulo8 Oct 20262–0
- WonAtletico Paranaense6 Sep 20263–1
- WonFlamengo23 Aug 20262–1
- DrawnFlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores13 Aug 20261–1
Cruzeiro: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
BahiaBahia away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- DrawnSantos25 Oct 20261–1
- LostPalmeiras9 Oct 20260–1
- LostAtletico Paranaense20 Sep 20261–2
- WonRB Bragantino5 Sep 20263–2
- WonVitoria23 Aug 20262–0
Bahia: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Cruzeiro- Last match
- 8 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 12 days after18 Nov 2026 · v Palmeiras · Serie A · Brazil
Bahia- Last match
- 8 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Sao Paulo · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 13 days after19 Nov 2026 · v Gremio · Serie A · Brazil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Felipe Morais (Muscle Injury) · Gabriel Pec (Broken Leg) · Matheus Pereira (Yellow Cards) · L. Sinisterra (Muscle Injury) · L. Villalba (Yellow Cards) · William Furtado (Yellow Cards)
- Doubtful
- Joao Marcelo (Injury)
- Ruled out
- Leo Vieira (Knee Injury)
Published 5 Nov 2026, 23:27 GMT · not changed since
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