Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 26 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Deportes Tolima are favoured by the model with a 58% chance of winning at home. They lead the expected goals count by 0.87 and have won three of the last five meetings between these teams, including their most recent encounter in May.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 58%Deportes Tolima win
- 26%Draw
- 16%Deportivo Pasto win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Deportes TolimaLast 5: no wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats
Deportivo PastoLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Deportes Tolima won 38 of 49 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Feb 2025.
- Deportivo Pasto won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Feb 2025.
- Deportes Tolima won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Deportes Tolima 7, draws 0, Deportivo Pasto 3
Goals: Deportes Tolima 19, Deportivo Pasto 10
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 0–2 |
| 10 May 2026 | Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto | 1–0 |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 1–0 |
| 12 Jul 2025 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 3–2 |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto | 2–0 |
| 24 Jul 2024 | Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto | 2–1 |
| 26 Jan 2024 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 1–4 |
| 18 Sep 2023 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 1–2 |
| 11 Apr 2023 | Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto | 3–1 |
| 9 Oct 2022 | Deportivo Pasto v Deportes Tolima | 2–1 |
Home and away
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima at home
Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnChico3 Oct 20260–0
- DrawnAmerica de Cali21 Sep 20261–1
- WonCucuta1 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnBucaramanga22 Aug 20260–0
- LostIndependiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores19 Aug 20260–1
Deportes Tolima: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostAtletico Nacional23 Oct 20260–3
- LostChico26 Sep 20260–3
- WonAmerica de Cali15 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnCucuta6 Sep 20262–2
- DrawnInternacional de Bogota28 Aug 20261–1
Deportivo Pasto: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 21 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Deportes Tolima- Last match
- 8 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Águilas Doradas · Primera A
- Next match
- 8 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Deportivo Pereira · Primera A
Deportivo Pasto- Last match
- 3 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Nacional · Primera A
- Next match
- 5 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Bucaramanga · Primera A
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Deportes Tolima
Since 24 Feb 2025
| Score | Deportes Tolima | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 38 won, 8 drawn, 3 lost in 49 matches | 452 won, 149 drawn, 78 lost in 679 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 4 drawn, 28 lost in 39 matches | 78 won, 149 drawn, 452 lost in 679 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 22 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 30 matches | 221 won, 68 drawn, 26 lost in 315 matches |
| Level at half-time | 15 won, 14 drawn, 13 lost in 42 matches | 195 won, 292 drawn, 195 lost in 682 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 27 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 30 matches | 258 won, 63 drawn, 18 lost in 339 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 17 drawn, 6 lost in 29 matches | 131 won, 302 drawn, 131 lost in 564 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 4 drawn, 20 lost in 24 matches | 18 won, 63 drawn, 258 lost in 339 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 25 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches | 251 won, 62 drawn, 11 lost in 324 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 19 drawn, 5 lost in 28 matches | 106 won, 310 drawn, 106 lost in 522 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 0 won, 3 drawn, 19 lost in 22 matches | 11 won, 62 drawn, 251 lost in 324 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 23 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 263 won, 53 drawn, 6 lost in 322 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 21 drawn, 5 lost in 30 matches | 73 won, 332 drawn, 73 lost in 478 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 2 drawn, 19 lost in 21 matches | 6 won, 53 drawn, 263 lost in 322 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 31 won, 20 drawn, 20 lost in 71 matches | 367 won, 360 drawn, 367 lost in 1094 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 18 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches | 168 won, 55 drawn, 33 lost in 256 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 20 won, 18 drawn, 18 lost in 56 matches | 283 won, 326 drawn, 283 lost in 892 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Deportes Tolima | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 25 scored, 22 conceded (100) | 411 scored, 411 conceded (1502) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 10 conceded (43) | 138 scored, 142 conceded (500) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 5 conceded (29) | 131 scored, 131 conceded (502) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 7 conceded (28) | 142 scored, 138 conceded (500) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 21(league sides: 753 times, within 15 minutes 123, by full time 329)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Deportivo Pasto
Since 26 Feb 2025
| Score | Deportivo Pasto | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 20 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 33 matches | 452 won, 149 drawn, 78 lost in 679 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 4 drawn, 26 lost in 32 matches | 78 won, 149 drawn, 452 lost in 679 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 23 matches | 195 won, 292 drawn, 195 lost in 682 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 0 won, 5 drawn, 18 lost in 23 matches | 26 won, 68 drawn, 221 lost in 315 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 22 matches | 131 won, 302 drawn, 131 lost in 564 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 3 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches | 18 won, 63 drawn, 258 lost in 339 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches | 106 won, 310 drawn, 106 lost in 522 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 2 drawn, 18 lost in 20 matches | 6 won, 53 drawn, 263 lost in 322 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 13 drawn, 22 lost in 52 matches | 367 won, 360 drawn, 367 lost in 1094 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 10 won, 12 drawn, 16 lost in 38 matches | 283 won, 326 drawn, 283 lost in 892 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Deportivo Pasto | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 21 scored, 17 conceded (70) | 411 scored, 411 conceded (1502) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 5 conceded (22) | 131 scored, 131 conceded (502) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 6 conceded (31) | 142 scored, 138 conceded (500) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 12(league sides: 753 times, within 15 minutes 123, by full time 329)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 26 Oct 2026, 00:13 GMT · not changed since
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