UEFA Nations League
Estonia
17:00
Bulgaria
Mon 16 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague C · Matchday 6

Estonia v Bulgaria · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Estonia win

Estonia face Bulgaria in a League of Nations D fixture. The model gives Estonia a 49% chance of victory, Bulgaria 22%, and a draw 29%. Expected goals total 2.29, with Estonia projected at 1.41 and Bulgaria 0.88—a gap of 0.53 in Estonia's favour. The teams drew 0–0 when they met most recently in September 2026.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 49%Estonia win
  • 29%Draw
  • 22%Bulgaria win

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Form · newest first

EstoniaEstonia

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

  1. drew0–0v Iceland
  2. won1–0v Luxembourg
  3. drew0–0at Bulgaria
  4. drew1–1at Iceland
  5. won4–2at Cyprus
BulgariaBulgaria

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. won2–0at Luxembourg
  2. lost0–3at Iceland
  3. drew0–0v Estonia
  4. lost1–2v Luxembourg
  5. drew2–2at Moldova

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
29 Sep 2026Bulgaria — Estonia0–0

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:38 GMT

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