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Primeira Liga
Estoril
15:30
Maritimo
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 11 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Cascais

Estoril v Maritimo · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Estoril win

Estoril are slight favourites at home with the model giving them a 51% chance of winning, while Maritimo have a 23% chance and a draw is 26% likely. Expected goals total 2.78, with Estoril expected to create 1.68 and Maritimo 1.1. Both sides have struggled recently, with Estoril losing three of their last five and Maritimo taking one win from their last five.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 51%Estoril win
  • 26%Draw
  • 23%Maritimo win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

EstorilEstoril

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–4at FC Porto
  2. lost1–3v Moreirense
  3. drew1–1at Salgueiros
  4. lost1–2at Academico Viseu
  5. lost1–2v Casa Pia
MaritimoMaritimo

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. lost0–2v Santa Clara
  2. lost0–5at Vitória SC
  3. won2–1at Alcochetense
  4. lost1–2v FC Porto
  5. drew1–1at GIL Vicente

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Estoril won 16 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Primeira Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 187 of 245.
  • Estoril won 2 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Estoril without a win in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Estoril 2, draws 1, Maritimo 1

Goals: Estoril 5, Maritimo 3

DateMatchScore
27 May 2023Estoril v Maritimo3–1
22 Jan 2023Maritimo v Estoril1–0
5 Feb 2022Maritimo v Estoril0–0
27 Aug 2021Estoril v Maritimo2–1

Home and away

Estoril

Estoril at home

Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostMoreirense25 Oct 20261–3
  • LostCasa Pia20 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnArouca7 Sep 20260–0
  • LostRio Ave22 Aug 20260–2
  • DrawnFamalicao7 Aug 20261–1

Estoril: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
6 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Maritimo

Maritimo away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostVitória SC23 Oct 20260–5
  • WonAlcochetenseTaça de Portugal18 Oct 20262–1
  • DrawnGIL Vicente19 Sep 20261–1
  • LostMoreirense14 Sep 20261–3
  • LostArouca29 Aug 20261–2

Maritimo: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 23 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Estoril
Last match
8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v FC Porto · Primeira Liga
Next match
13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Felgueiras 1932 · Taça de Portugal
Maritimo
Last match
7 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Santa Clara · Primeira Liga
Next match
13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Chaves · Taça de Portugal

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Estoril

ScoreEstorilLeague sides
Scored first16 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 26 matches639 won, 194 drawn, 116 lost in 949 matches
Conceded first4 won, 11 drawn, 25 lost in 40 matches116 won, 194 drawn, 639 lost in 949 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 25 matches279 won, 296 drawn, 279 lost in 854 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes0 won, 6 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches21 won, 97 drawn, 325 lost in 443 matches
Level after 15 minutes11 won, 12 drawn, 15 lost in 38 matches518 won, 388 drawn, 518 lost in 1424 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 13 drawn, 11 lost in 33 matches384 won, 336 drawn, 384 lost in 1104 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreEstorilLeague sides
All matches24 scored, 19 conceded (69)633 scored, 633 conceded (2026)
When trailing after 75 minutes13 scored, 9 conceded (33)197 scored, 240 conceded (723)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 20(league sides: 1,082 times, within 15 minutes 174, by full time 477)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Nov 2024

EstorilMaritimo
68Matches with xG—
85.20xG for—
99Goals scored—
107.01xG against—
113Goals conceded—

Estoril

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Estoril: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at FC Porto0.643.130–4
25 Oct 2026v Moreirense2.011.331–3
10 Oct 2026at Academico Viseu1.630.821–2
20 Sep 2026v Casa Pia0.952.171–2
14 Sep 2026at SC Braga0.751.790–1
7 Sep 2026v Arouca0.861.070–0
31 Aug 2026at Benfica0.362.031–2
22 Aug 2026v Rio Ave1.160.700–2
16 Aug 2026at Nacional0.862.030–2
7 Aug 2026v Famalicao1.061.471–1

This league season

Primeira Liga matches since 7 Aug 2026.

EstorilMaritimo
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
2Points in those matches8
10.29xPts10.65
10.28xG for9.55
16.54xG against14.17

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Estoril and Maritimo

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 18:33 GMT

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