Everton v Newcastle match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Thu 29 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model assesses this as a tight contest with nearly identical attacking potential: Everton 1.44 expected goals, Newcastle 1.47, for a combined 2.91. Everton show mixed form with two wins and two losses in their last five, while Newcastle are more variable. In recent head-to-head meetings, results have swung between the sides.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 37%Everton win
- 26%Draw
- 37%Newcastle win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
EvertonLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
NewcastleLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Everton won 21 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Everton 4, draws 2, Newcastle 4
Goals: Everton 12, Newcastle 15
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Newcastle v EvertonPremier League | 2–3 |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Everton v NewcastlePremier League | 1–4 |
| 25 May 2025 | Newcastle v EvertonPremier League | 0–1 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Everton v NewcastlePremier League | 0–0 |
| 2 Apr 2024 | Newcastle v EvertonPremier League | 1–1 |
| 7 Dec 2023 | Everton v NewcastlePremier League | 3–0 |
| 27 Apr 2023 | Everton v NewcastlePremier League | 1–4 |
| 19 Oct 2022 | Newcastle v EvertonPremier League | 1–0 |
| 17 Mar 2022 | Everton v NewcastlePremier League | 1–0 |
| 8 Feb 2022 | Newcastle v EvertonPremier League | 3–1 |
Home and away
EvertonEverton at home
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- LostChelseaPremier League17 Oct 20260–2
- WonIpswichPremier League19 Sep 20261–0
- WonWolves16 Sep 20261–0
- DrawnManchester UnitedPremier League6 Sep 20262–2
- WonCrystal PalacePremier League22 Aug 20262–0
Everton: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
NewcastleNewcastle away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonCrystal PalacePremier League25 Oct 20262–0
- LostCoventryPremier League12 Oct 20261–4
- LostLeedsPremier League14 Sep 20261–4
- WonMillwall8 Sep 20261–0
- WonTottenhamPremier League29 Aug 20262–0
Newcastle: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Everton- Last match
- 5 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Arsenal · Premier League
- Next match
- 4 days after2 Nov 2026 · v Newcastle · Premier League
Newcastle- Last match
- 4 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Crystal Palace · Premier League
- Next match
- 4 days after2 Nov 2026 · v Everton · Premier League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Everton
| Score | Everton |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 21 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 31 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 11 drawn, 23 lost in 37 matches |
| Level at half-time | 5 won, 16 drawn, 11 lost in 32 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 16 drawn, 8 lost in 29 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 3 won, 17 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 19 drawn, 6 lost in 28 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 21 drawn, 20 lost in 58 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 18 drawn, 15 lost in 45 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Everton |
|---|---|
| All matches | 24 scored, 25 conceded (75) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 9 conceded (23) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 11 conceded (26) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 5 conceded (26) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 34 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 17Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Everton and Newcastle
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 29 Oct 2026, 18:42 GMT · not changed since
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