Excelsior Maassluis v Heerenveen match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Heerenveen are heavily favoured to win this Eerste Divisie encounter, with the model giving them a 63% chance of victory against Excelsior Maassluis's 18%, with 19% for a draw. Heerenveen's expected attacking output (2.51 goals) far exceeds Excelsior's (1.3), creating a gap of 1.21 in their favour. Both teams enter on positive form, though Heerenveen have momentum with back-to-back wins.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 18%Excelsior Maassluis win
- 19%Draw
- 63%Heerenveen win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Excelsior MaassluisLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
HeerenveenLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Heerenveen won 21 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Heerenveen's last 10 away league games.
Home and away
Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior Maassluis at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostAjax17 Dec 20252–7
- DrawnExcelsior29 Oct 20250–0 AET 1–0
- LostADO Den Haag16 Jan 20241–2
- WonFC Volendam16 Nov 20231–0
- LostHercules21 Sep 20221–2
HeerenveenHeerenveen away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonADO Den HaagEredivisie24 Oct 20263–2
- LostPSV EindhovenEredivisie9 Oct 20260–2
- WonSparta RotterdamEredivisie19 Sep 20264–0
- DrawnWillem IIEredivisie30 Aug 20262–2
- DrawnAjaxEredivisie16 Aug 20262–2
Heerenveen: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Excelsior Maassluis- Last match
- Not known
- Next match
- 10 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Gemert · Derde Divisie
Heerenveen- Last match
- 4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie
- Next match
- 3 days after31 Oct 2026 · v NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Heerenveen
| Score | Heerenveen |
|---|---|
| Scored first | 21 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 28 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 10 drawn, 24 lost in 40 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost in 24 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 18 won, 12 drawn, 19 lost in 49 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 6 drawn, 11 lost in 29 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Heerenveen |
|---|---|
| All matches | 24 scored, 23 conceded (70) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 7 conceded (28) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 9 conceded (27) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 23Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Excelsior Maassluis and Heerenveen
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 28 Oct 2026, 18:57 GMT · not changed since
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