Fajr Sepasi v Aluminium Arak match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Tue 13 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model assesses Fajr Sepasi as marginal 34% favourites over Aluminium Arak, with a draw at 33% and the away side at 33%. Expected goals of 1.94 suggest a low-scoring match between evenly matched opponents, with their sole recent meeting ending 1-1.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

34%Fajr Sepasi win
33%Draw
33%Aluminium Arak win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

Fajr Sepasi

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Aluminium Arak

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Aluminium Arak won 1 of the last 3 meetings.
Fajr Sepasi unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Aluminium Arak unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Aluminium Arak's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Fajr Sepasi 0, draws 2, Aluminium Arak 1

Goals: Fajr Sepasi 1, Aluminium Arak 2

Date	Match	Score
29 Nov 2025	Aluminium Arak v Fajr Sepasi	1–1
3 Apr 2022	Fajr Sepasi v Aluminium Arak	0–0
10 Dec 2021	Aluminium Arak v Fajr Sepasi	1–0

Home and away

Fajr Sepasi

Fajr Sepasi at home

Last 5: 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost

DrawnMes Shahr-e Babak3 Sep 20261–1
DrawnZOB Ahan29 Aug 20260–0
DrawnSanat Naft19 Aug 20260–0
WonShams Azar Qazvin20 Feb 20261–0
WonTractor Sazi6 Feb 20262–1

Fajr Sepasi: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 11 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Aluminium Arak

Aluminium Arak away

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

WonGol Gohar1 Sep 20262–0
WonShams Azar Qazvin23 Aug 20262–1
WonEsteghlal Khuzestan14 Aug 20262–0
DrawnShams Azar Qazvin13 Feb 20260–0
DrawnEsteghlal Khuzestan1 Feb 20261–1

Aluminium Arak: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 10 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 3 of 10
Clean sheets: 4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Fajr Sepasi

Last match: 5 days before8 Oct 2026 · v Sepahan FC · Persian Gulf Pro League
Next match: 6 days after19 Oct 2026 · v Paykan · Persian Gulf Pro League

Aluminium Arak

Last match: 5 days before8 Oct 2026 · v Malavan · Persian Gulf Pro League
Next match: 4 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Sanat Naft · Persian Gulf Pro League

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 13 Oct 2026, 13:27 BST · not changed since

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