Falkirk v Celtic match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Celtic a 58% chance of victory, Falkirk 19%, and a draw 23%. Expected goals favour Celtic at 1.97 to 1.04, with a gap of 0.93 in their favour. In their five recent head-to-head meetings, Celtic have won four and drawn one, though Falkirk have recently shown improved form with three wins in their last five matches.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 19%Falkirk win
- 23%Draw
- 58%Celtic win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
FalkirkLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won1–0at Aberdeen
- won3–0v Kilmarnock
- won2–1at Hibernian
- lost1–2v Dundee
- drew1–1at ST Johnstone
CelticLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- drew2–2v Dundee Utd
- won2–1at Hibernian
- lost1–2v Celta Vigo
- won7–1v Heart Of Midlothian
- lost1–4at Benfica
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Falkirk won 16 of 23 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Aug 2025.
- Celtic won 50 of 60 matches in which they scored first, since 5 Nov 2024.
- Celtic won 5 of the last 5 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Falkirk's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Falkirk 0, draws 0, Celtic 5
Goals: Falkirk 2, Celtic 12
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Celtic v Falkirk | 2–1 |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Celtic v Falkirk | 3–1 |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Celtic v Falkirk | 2–0 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Falkirk v Celtic | 0–1 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Celtic v Falkirk | 4–0 |
Home and away
FalkirkFalkirk at home
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonKilmarnock24 Oct 20263–0
- LostDundee10 Oct 20261–2
- WonHeart Of Midlothian15 Sep 20262–1
- LostRangers2 Sep 20261–2
- LostST Mirren1 Aug 20260–2
Falkirk: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 23 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
CelticCeltic away
Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonHibernian25 Oct 20262–1
- LostBenficaUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20261–4
- WonMotherwell11 Oct 20262–0
- WonST Johnstone9 Sep 20261–0
- WonST Mirren5 Sep 20262–1
Celtic: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Falkirk- Last match
- 4 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Aberdeen · Premiership
- Next match
- 7 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Heart Of Midlothian · Premiership
Celtic- Last match
- 4 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Dundee Utd · Premiership
- Next match
- 4 days after5 Nov 2026 · v Beşiktaş · UEFA Europa League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Falkirk
Since 3 Aug 2025
| Score | Falkirk | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 16 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches | 493 won, 147 drawn, 86 lost in 726 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 4 drawn, 17 lost in 23 matches | 86 won, 147 drawn, 493 lost in 726 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 11 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 33 matches | 402 won, 308 drawn, 402 lost in 1112 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost in 24 matches | 264 won, 250 drawn, 264 lost in 778 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Falkirk | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 6 scored, 16 conceded (49) | 519 scored, 519 conceded (1540) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 26 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 8(league sides: 829 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 372)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Celtic
Since 5 Nov 2024
| Score | Celtic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 50 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 60 matches | 493 won, 147 drawn, 86 lost in 726 matches |
| Conceded first | 12 won, 4 drawn, 19 lost in 35 matches | 86 won, 147 drawn, 493 lost in 726 matches |
| 2+ goals up at half-time | 19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 124 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 136 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 24 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches | 241 won, 76 drawn, 47 lost in 364 matches |
| Level at half-time | 16 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 31 matches | 164 won, 212 drawn, 164 lost in 540 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 27 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches | 177 won, 12 drawn, 1 lost in 190 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 19 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 235 won, 77 drawn, 25 lost in 337 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 13 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches | 141 won, 204 drawn, 141 lost in 486 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 28 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches | 217 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 228 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 22 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 225 won, 65 drawn, 14 lost in 304 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 12 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches | 121 won, 234 drawn, 121 lost in 476 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 31 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches | 245 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 250 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 21 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 238 won, 65 drawn, 9 lost in 312 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 10 won, 10 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches | 87 won, 242 drawn, 87 lost in 416 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 42 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 66 matches | 402 won, 308 drawn, 402 lost in 1112 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 23 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 29 matches | 211 won, 57 drawn, 43 lost in 311 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 24 won, 10 drawn, 7 lost in 41 matches | 264 won, 250 drawn, 264 lost in 778 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Celtic | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 43 scored, 15 conceded (100) | 519 scored, 519 conceded (1540) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 22 scored, 6 conceded (53) | 206 scored, 165 conceded (554) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 3 conceded (24) | 148 scored, 148 conceded (432) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 6 conceded (23) | 165 scored, 206 conceded (554) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 25(league sides: 829 times, within 15 minutes 116, by full time 372)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 5 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Falkirk and Celtic
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 1 Nov 2026, 11:58 GMT · not changed since
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