LEDGER
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J1 League
FC Tokyo
2–0Finished
Kashima
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 06:00 GMTMatchday 14 · Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu

FC Tokyo v Kashima match analysis

Our selection

PRO members see our selection for this match.

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

FC Tokyo host Kashima in a closely matched encounter. The model gives Tokyo a 41% chance of winning, a 28% chance of a draw and Kashima a 31% chance. Tokyo have won four of their last five matches, while Kashima have one win, one draw and one defeat in their last three. Expected total goals are 2.62, with Tokyo expected to generate 1.4 and Kashima 1.22.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 41%FC Tokyo win
  • 28%Draw
  • 31%Kashima win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

FC TokyoFC Tokyo

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

  1. won4–0at Fagiano Okayama
  2. won6–0v Mito Hollyhock
  3. drew0–0v Kashiwa Reysol
  4. won4–0at Tokyo Verdy
  5. won3–0v Urawa
KashimaKashima

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  1. drew0–0at Buriram United
  2. won4–1v Cerezo Osaka
  3. won3–0v Pohang Steelers
  4. lost2–3v Kashiwa Reysol
  5. drew2–2at Kyoto Sanga

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Kashima won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
  • FC Tokyo unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Kashima's last 10 away league games.
  • Not both teams scored in 7 of FC Tokyo's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: FC Tokyo 3, draws 2, Kashima 5

Goals: FC Tokyo 10, Kashima 12

DateMatchScore
23 May 2026Kashima v FC Tokyo1–0
7 Feb 2026FC Tokyo v Kashima1–1 PEN
10 Aug 2025FC Tokyo v Kashima0–1
1 Mar 2025Kashima v FC Tokyo2–0
20 Jul 2024Kashima v FC Tokyo2–1
7 Apr 2024FC Tokyo v Kashima2–0
16 Jul 2023FC Tokyo v Kashima1–3
20 May 2023Kashima v FC Tokyo1–1
1 Oct 2022Kashima v FC Tokyo0–1
29 May 2022FC Tokyo v Kashima3–1

Home and away

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonMito Hollyhock25 Oct 20266–0
  • DrawnKashiwa Reysol21 Oct 20260–0
  • WonUrawa10 Oct 20263–0
  • WonNagoya Grampus19 Sep 20261–0
  • WonKyoto Sanga6 Sep 20262–0

FC Tokyo: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10
Kashima

Kashima away

Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnBuriram UnitedAFC Champions League Elite4 Nov 20260–0
  • DrawnKyoto Sanga21 Oct 20262–2
  • WonCông An Nhân DânAFC Champions League Elite13 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnKawasaki Frontale19 Sep 20263–3
  • LostVissel Kobe11 Sep 20261–2

Kashima: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 22 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

FC Tokyo
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Fagiano Okayama · J1 League
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Cerezo Osaka · J1 League
Kashima
Last match
3 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Buriram United · AFC Champions League Elite
Next match
4 days after11 Nov 2026 · v Yokohama F. Marinos · J-League Cup

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 04:57 GMT · not changed since

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