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Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
3–2Finished
Atletico-MG
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 23:00 GMTMatchday 32 · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro

Flamengo v Atletico-MG match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 26 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Flamengo hold a 66% chance of victory according to the model, boosted by a 4-0 away win over Atletico-MG in April and a strong head-to-head record. Expected goals heavily favour the visitors' hosts (1.96 to 0.75), though both teams are dealing with multiple injury absences. Form is uneven for each side, with neither on a consistent run.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 66%Flamengo win
  • 22%Draw
  • 12%Atletico-MG win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

FlamengoFlamengo

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Flamengo won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Flamengo unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Atletico-MG without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Flamengo 6, draws 2, Atletico-MG 2

Goals: Flamengo 14, Atletico-MG 9

DateMatchScore
27 Apr 2026Atletico-MG v Flamengo0–4
26 Nov 2025Atletico-MG v Flamengo1–1
28 Jul 2025Flamengo v Atletico-MG1–0
13 Nov 2024Flamengo v Atletico-MG0–0
4 Jul 2024Atletico-MG v Flamengo2–4
29 Nov 2023Flamengo v Atletico-MG0–3
30 Jul 2023Atletico-MG v Flamengo1–2
16 Oct 2022Flamengo v Atletico-MG1–0
19 Jun 2022Atletico-MG v Flamengo2–0
31 Oct 2021Flamengo v Atletico-MG1–0

Home and away

Flamengo

Flamengo at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnEstudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores23 Oct 20260–0 PEN
  • WonFluminense11 Oct 20261–0
  • WonRB Bragantino20 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnIndependiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores18 Sep 20261–1
  • WonCorinthians13 Sep 20262–1

Flamengo: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG away

Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostAtletico TorqueCONMEBOL Sudamericana21 Oct 20260–2
  • DrawnAtletico Paranaense9 Oct 20262–2
  • LostSantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana9 Sep 20260–2
  • LostSao Paulo5 Sep 20260–2
  • DrawnInternacional22 Aug 20260–0

Atletico-MG: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Flamengo
Last match
3 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores
Next match
3 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Vasco DA Gama · Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
Last match
5 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Torque · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Next match
3 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Cruzeiro · Serie A · Brazil

Injuries and suspensions

  • FlamengoFlamengo
    Ruled out
    Danilo (Jaw injury) · Evertton Araujo (Thigh Injury)
  • Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
    Ruled out
    T. Borbas (Muscle Injury) · M. Cassierra (Muscle Injury) · Cuello (Ribs Injury) · Everson (Foot Injury) · Fred (Muscle Injury) · Ruan Tressoldi (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    Gustavo Scarpa (Muscle Injury)

Published 26 Oct 2026, 21:57 GMT · not changed since

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