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Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1–0Finished
Fluminense
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 21:30 BSTMatchday 30

Flamengo v Fluminense match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Flamengo are 60% favourites in this Rio derby, with expected goals of 1.99 versus Fluminense's 0.94. Flamengo won the April meeting 2-1 away, though they have lost key defenders to injury ahead of this fixture.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 60%Flamengo win
  • 23%Draw
  • 17%Fluminense win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

FlamengoFlamengo

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

FluminenseFluminense

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Flamengo unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Fluminense's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Flamengo 4, draws 2, Fluminense 4

Goals: Flamengo 10, Fluminense 12

DateMatchScore
12 Apr 2026Fluminense v Flamengo1–2
20 Nov 2025Fluminense v Flamengo2–1
20 Jul 2025Flamengo v Fluminense1–0
18 Oct 2024Flamengo v Fluminense0–2
23 Jun 2024Fluminense v Flamengo0–1
11 Nov 2023Flamengo v Fluminense1–1
16 Jul 2023Fluminense v Flamengo0–0
18 Sep 2022Flamengo v Fluminense1–2
29 May 2022Fluminense v Flamengo1–2
23 Oct 2021Fluminense v Flamengo3–1

Home and away

Flamengo

Flamengo at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonRB Bragantino20 Sep 20262–1
  • DrawnIndependiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores18 Sep 20261–1
  • WonCorinthians13 Sep 20262–1
  • WonMirassol2 Sep 20262–0
  • WonBotafogo30 Aug 20263–0

Flamengo: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Fluminense

Fluminense away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonCorinthians20 Sep 20263–1
  • LostPlatenseCONMEBOL Libertadores15 Sep 20261–2
  • LostAtletico-MG12 Sep 20261–3
  • DrawnAtletico Paranaense30 Aug 20263–3
  • DrawnIndepend. RivadaviaCONMEBOL Libertadores18 Aug 20261–1 PEN

Fluminense: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Flamengo
Last match
3 days before8 Oct 2026 · v Santos · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
5 days after16 Oct 2026 · v Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores
Fluminense
Last match
2 days before9 Oct 2026 · v Coritiba · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
4 days after15 Oct 2026 · v Palmeiras · CONMEBOL Libertadores

Injuries and suspensions

  • FlamengoFlamengoAyrton Lucas (Thigh Injury) · Evertton Araujo (Thigh Injury) · Jorginho (Red Card) · Leo Ortiz (Inactive) · G. Varela (Inactive) · G. de Arrascaeta (Wrist Injury)
  • FluminenseFluminenseAlisson (Hip Injury) · G. Cano (Hamstring Injury)

Published 11 Oct 2026, 21:12 BST · not changed since

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