Flamengo v Gremio match analysis
Our selection
PRO members see our selection for this match.
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 4 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Flamengo have won three of their last five matches and the model gives them a 73% chance of victory at home, with expected goals of 2.24 to Gremio's 0.68. Gremio have drawn two of their last five and face six players ruled out through injury. Head-to-head records show Flamengo have won two of the three meetings since April 2025.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 73%Flamengo win
- 18%Draw
- 9%Gremio win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
FlamengoLast 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
- won4–1at Vasco DA Gama
- won3–2v Atletico-MG
- drew0–0v Estudiantes L.P.
- won3–0at Bahia
- drew0–0at Estudiantes L.P.
GremioLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- won2–0v Atletico Paranaense
- won1–0at Coritiba
- lost2–4v Cruzeiro
- drew1–1v Internacional
- drew1–1at Remo
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Flamengo won 4 of the last 9 meetings.
- Flamengo unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Gremio's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
9 meetings: Flamengo 4, draws 2, Gremio 3
Goals: Flamengo 15, Gremio 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Gremio v Flamengo | 0–1 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Flamengo v Gremio | 1–1 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Gremio v Flamengo | 0–2 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Gremio v Flamengo | 3–2 |
| 14 Jun 2024 | Flamengo v Gremio | 2–1 |
| 26 Oct 2023 | Gremio v Flamengo | 3–2 |
| 11 Jun 2023 | Flamengo v Gremio | 3–0 |
| 24 Nov 2021 | Gremio v Flamengo | 2–2 |
| 20 Sep 2021 | Flamengo v Gremio | 0–1 |
Home and away
FlamengoFlamengo at home
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- WonAtletico-MG26 Oct 20263–2
- DrawnEstudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores23 Oct 20260–0 PEN
- WonFluminense11 Oct 20261–0
- WonRB Bragantino20 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnIndependiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores18 Sep 20261–1
Flamengo: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 8 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
GremioGremio away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- WonCoritiba26 Oct 20261–0
- DrawnRemo7 Oct 20261–1
- LostBotafogo16 Sep 20262–3
- LostVitoria8 Sep 20260–1
- LostRB Bragantino23 Aug 20260–1
Gremio: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 6 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Flamengo- Last match
- 6 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Vasco DA Gama · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 14 days after18 Nov 2026 · v Atletico Paranaense · Serie A · Brazil
Gremio- Last match
- 3 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Copa Do Brasil
- Next match
- 3 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Copa Do Brasil
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Danilo (Jaw injury) · S. Niguez (Muscle Injury) · G. Plata (Yellow Cards) · A. Valencia (Eye injury)
- Doubtful
- Lucas Paqueta (Injury)
- Ruled out
- Carlos Vinicius (Yellow Cards) · Danilo Barbosa (Injury) · Diego Caito (Muscle Injury) · J. Nardoni (Inactive) · C. Pavon (Muscle Injury) · Weverton (Yellow Cards)
- Doubtful
- J. Cabral (Muscle Injury)
Published 4 Nov 2026, 21:38 GMT · not changed since
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