Fluminense v Internacional match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 28 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Fluminense a 53% chance of victory, with expected goals of 1.62 to 0.95 in their favour. Both teams are weakened by injuries, particularly Fluminense's defence and Internacional's attack. Head-to-head history favours Internacional slightly, but Fluminense's home advantage and superior expected goal metrics balance the picture.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 53%Fluminense win
- 27%Draw
- 20%Internacional win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
FluminenseLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
InternacionalLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Fluminense won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Fluminense's last 10 home league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Fluminense's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Fluminense 4, draws 3, Internacional 3
Goals: Fluminense 10, Internacional 11
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Internacional v Fluminense | 2–0 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Fluminense v Internacional | 1–0 |
| 2 Jun 2025 | Internacional v Fluminense | 0–2 |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Internacional v Fluminense | 2–0 |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Fluminense v Internacional | 1–1 |
| 8 Nov 2023 | Internacional v Fluminense | 0–0 |
| 5 Oct 2023 | Internacional v FluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores | 1–2 |
| 28 Sep 2023 | Fluminense v InternacionalCONMEBOL Libertadores | 2–2 |
| 9 Jul 2023 | Fluminense v Internacional | 2–0 |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Internacional v Fluminense | 3–0 |
Home and away
FluminenseFluminense at home
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- LostSantos18 Oct 20261–2
- LostPalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores15 Oct 20261–2
- WonCoritiba9 Oct 20264–0
- WonPlatenseCONMEBOL Libertadores8 Sep 20262–0
- WonVasco DA Gama6 Sep 20261–0
Fluminense: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
InternacionalInternacional away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostMirassol17 Oct 20260–2
- DrawnGremio11 Oct 20261–1
- LostSao Paulo20 Sep 20260–1
- WonChapecoense-sc12 Sep 20262–1
- LostBahia30 Aug 20262–3
Internacional: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 8 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Fluminense- Last match
- 4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Chapecoense-sc · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 9 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Vitoria · Serie A · Brazil
Internacional- Last match
- 4 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Botafogo · Serie A · Brazil
- Next match
- 7 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Coritiba · Serie A · Brazil
PRO depth
PRO depth: Fluminense and Internacional
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Alisson (Hip Injury) · John Kennedy (Knee Injury) · Martinelli (Inactive) · Matheus Reis (Knee Injury) · J. Millan (Inactive)
- Ruled out
- Anthoni (Knee Injury) · Kayky (Ankle Injury) · S. Rochet (Lower Back Injury) · A. Sanabria (Calf Injury)
Published 28 Oct 2026, 21:38 GMT · not changed since
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