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Fortaleza FC
0–3Finished
Independiente Medellin
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 01:00 GMTClausura · Matchday 18 · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogota

Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Independiente Medellin a 38% chance of winning, with Fortaleza FC at 33% and a draw at 29%. Expected goals stand at 2.48, with Medellin holding a marginal 0.12 gap in attack. Fortaleza have won just one of their last five matches, while Medellin show mixed form with two wins and three losses recently; head-to-head, Medellin have won two of the three most recent encounters.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 33%Fortaleza FC win
  • 29%Draw
  • 38%Independiente Medellin win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost0–1at Águilas Doradas
  2. lost1–2at America de Cali
  3. drew1–1v Deportivo Cali
  4. lost1–2at Internacional de Bogota
  5. drew1–1v Millonarios
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

  1. won2–1v Alianza Valledupar
  2. lost1–3at Internacional de Bogota
  3. lost1–2at Atletico Nacional
  4. lost0–2v Once Caldas
  5. won2–1at America de Cali

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Independiente Medellin won 2 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Fortaleza FC without a win in their last 5 home games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Independiente Medellin's last 10 away league games.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Fortaleza FC's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

5 meetings: Fortaleza FC 0, draws 3, Independiente Medellin 2

Goals: Fortaleza FC 5, Independiente Medellin 8

DateMatchScore
26 Apr 2026Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza FC1–0
18 Oct 2025Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza FC3–1
27 Apr 2025Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin0–0
27 Aug 2024Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin2–2
17 Feb 2024Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza FC2–2

Home and away

Fortaleza FC

Fortaleza FC at home

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnDeportivo Cali25 Oct 20261–1
  • DrawnMillonarios9 Oct 20261–1
  • DrawnDeportes Tolima28 Sep 20262–2
  • LostJunior20 Sep 20261–4
  • LostOnce Caldas2 Sep 20261–2

Fortaleza FC: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostInternacional de Bogota29 Oct 20261–3
  • LostAtletico Nacional25 Oct 20261–2
  • WonAmerica de Cali12 Oct 20262–1
  • LostJunior27 Sep 20260–2
  • DrawnBucaramanga18 Sep 20262–2

Independiente Medellin: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Fortaleza FC
Last match
5 days before2 Nov 2026 · v Águilas Doradas · Primera A
Next match
5 days after12 Nov 2026 · v Bucaramanga · Primera A
Independiente Medellin
Last match
6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Alianza Valledupar · Primera A
Next match
5 days after12 Nov 2026 · v Águilas Doradas · Primera A

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 6 Nov 2026, 22:23 GMT · not changed since

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