LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Primeira Liga
GIL Vicente
0–1Finished
FC Porto
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 20:30 BSTMatchday 9 · Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos

GIL Vicente v FC Porto match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 21%GIL Vicente win
  • 27%Draw
  • 52%FC Porto win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

FC PortoFC Porto

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • GIL Vicente won 21 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 25 Oct 2024.
  • FC Porto won 52 of 59 matches in which they scored first, since 28 Oct 2024.
  • FC Porto won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of FC Porto's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: GIL Vicente 2, draws 2, FC Porto 6

Goals: GIL Vicente 9, FC Porto 18

DateMatchScore
26 Jan 2026FC Porto v GIL Vicente3–0
18 Aug 2025GIL Vicente v FC Porto0–2
19 Jan 2025GIL Vicente v FC Porto3–1
10 Aug 2024FC Porto v GIL Vicente3–0
25 Feb 2024GIL Vicente v FC Porto1–1
23 Sep 2023FC Porto v GIL Vicente2–1
26 Feb 2023FC Porto v GIL Vicente1–2
3 Sep 2022GIL Vicente v FC Porto0–2
27 Feb 2022FC Porto v GIL Vicente1–1
24 Sep 2021GIL Vicente v FC Porto1–2

Home and away

GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnMaritimo19 Sep 20261–1
  • LostAcademico Viseu6 Sep 20260–1
  • WonCasa Pia24 Aug 20262–0
  • WonRio Ave9 Aug 20261–0
  • LostArouca11 May 20261–3

GIL Vicente: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
FC Porto

FC Porto away

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostReal BetisUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20262–3
  • WonMaritimo10 Oct 20262–1
  • WonCasa Pia12 Sep 20264–1
  • WonAcademico Viseu29 Aug 20263–0
  • WonRio Ave15 Aug 20262–0

FC Porto: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
22 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

GIL Vicente
Last match
5 days before19 Oct 2026 · v SC Braga · Primeira Liga
Next match
5 days after29 Oct 2026 · v Benfica · Taça da Liga
FC Porto
Last match
4 days before20 Oct 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League
Next match
4 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Academico Viseu · Taça da Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

GIL Vicente

Since 25 Oct 2024

ScoreGIL VicenteLeague sides
Scored first21 won, 8 drawn, 6 lost in 35 matches626 won, 194 drawn, 114 lost in 934 matches
Conceded first2 won, 7 drawn, 20 lost in 29 matches114 won, 194 drawn, 626 lost in 934 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 31 matches273 won, 294 drawn, 273 lost in 840 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 16 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches200 won, 306 drawn, 200 lost in 706 matches
Level after 70 minutes8 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 28 matches141 won, 294 drawn, 141 lost in 576 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches99 won, 356 drawn, 99 lost in 554 matches
Level after 15 minutes17 won, 16 drawn, 18 lost in 51 matches506 won, 386 drawn, 506 lost in 1398 matches
Level after 30 minutes14 won, 16 drawn, 16 lost in 46 matches375 won, 334 drawn, 375 lost in 1084 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGIL VicenteLeague sides
All matches19 scored, 21 conceded (69)625 scored, 625 conceded (1994)
When leading after 75 minutes8 scored, 7 conceded (22)235 scored, 196 conceded (710)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 7 conceded (23)194 scored, 194 conceded (574)
When trailing after 75 minutes4 scored, 7 conceded (24)196 scored, 235 conceded (710)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 15(league sides: 1,065 times, within 15 minutes 173, by full time 473)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

FC Porto

Since 28 Oct 2024

ScoreFC PortoLeague sides
Scored first52 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 59 matches626 won, 194 drawn, 114 lost in 934 matches
Conceded first8 won, 7 drawn, 15 lost in 30 matches114 won, 194 drawn, 626 lost in 934 matches
1 goal up at half-time26 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches269 won, 97 drawn, 36 lost in 402 matches
Level at half-time21 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 31 matches273 won, 294 drawn, 273 lost in 840 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes22 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches228 won, 20 drawn, 1 lost in 249 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches284 won, 84 drawn, 27 lost in 395 matches
Level after 60 minutes12 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches200 won, 306 drawn, 200 lost in 706 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes29 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches261 won, 13 drawn, 0 lost in 274 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes23 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches317 won, 97 drawn, 21 lost in 435 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes32 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 32 matches297 won, 9 drawn, 0 lost in 306 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes22 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches332 won, 70 drawn, 12 lost in 414 matches
Level after 15 minutes42 won, 12 drawn, 12 lost in 66 matches506 won, 386 drawn, 506 lost in 1398 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes25 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches234 won, 83 drawn, 50 lost in 367 matches
Level after 30 minutes24 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 41 matches375 won, 334 drawn, 375 lost in 1084 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFC PortoLeague sides
All matches34 scored, 19 conceded (90)625 scored, 625 conceded (1994)
When leading after 75 minutes16 scored, 6 conceded (54)235 scored, 196 conceded (710)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 34 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 21(league sides: 1,065 times, within 15 minutes 173, by full time 473)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

GIL VicenteFC Porto
68Since 25 Oct 2024Matches with xG68Since 28 Oct 2024
78.73xG for116.51
79Goals scored133
73.47xG against53.79
79Goals conceded48

GIL Vicente

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
GIL Vicente: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Oct 2026at SC Braga1.541.392–1
9 Oct 2026at Moreirense1.491.091–0
19 Sep 2026v Maritimo1.200.861–1
13 Sep 2026at Benfica1.112.901–3
6 Sep 2026v Academico Viseu1.880.330–1
30 Aug 2026at Famalicao0.280.230–0
24 Aug 2026v Casa Pia1.740.762–0
9 Aug 2026v Rio Ave1.660.191–0
16 May 2026at Sporting CP0.681.650–3
11 May 2026v Arouca0.811.391–3

FC Porto

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
FC Porto: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
10 Oct 2026at Maritimo2.130.192–1
20 Sep 2026v Benfica1.300.843–1
12 Sep 2026at Casa Pia2.601.594–1
4 Sep 2026v Moreirense2.900.852–1
29 Aug 2026at Academico Viseu1.470.803–0
23 Aug 2026v Arouca2.920.542–0
15 Aug 2026at Rio Ave2.000.672–0
9 Aug 2026v Alverca2.611.602–0
16 May 2026v Santa Clara0.850.471–0
10 May 2026at AVS3.060.751–3

This league season

Primeira Liga matches since 7 Aug 2026.

GIL VicenteFC Porto
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
14Points in those matches24
13.44xPts17.55
10.90xG for17.93
7.75xG against7.08

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: GIL Vicente and FC Porto

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 24 Oct 2026, 19:28 BST · not changed since

All fixtures