UEFA Nations League
Greece
19:45
Serbia
Mon 16 Nov 2026 · GMTLeague A · Matchday 6

Greece v Serbia · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Greece win

Greece are favoured to beat Serbia, with the model assigning a 61% chance of a home win. Serbia's recent form is a concern—five straight defeats—while Greece have recovered from an early loss with wins and draws in their last four. The model estimates 1.77 expected goals for Greece and 0.77 for Serbia, a gap of 1 in Greece's favour.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 61%Greece win
  • 24%Draw
  • 15%Serbia win

PRO analysis

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Form · newest first

GreeceGreece

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  1. drew0–0v Germany
  2. drew2–2v Netherlands
  3. won1–0at Germany
  4. won2–1at Serbia
  5. lost0–1v Italy
SerbiaSerbia

Last 5: no wins, no draws, 5 defeats

  1. lost1–2at Netherlands
  2. lost0–2at Germany
  3. lost1–2v Netherlands
  4. lost1–2v Greece
  5. lost1–5at Mexico

Head-to-head

DateMatchScore
24 Sep 2026Serbia — Greece1–2

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 15:53 GMT

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