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Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
2–0Finished
Atletico Paranaense
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 00:30 GMTMatchday 33 · Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

Gremio v Atletico Paranaense match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 30 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Gremio are slight favourites with a 39% win probability, ahead of Atletico Paranaense at 33% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals stand at 1.35 for the hosts and 1.26 for the visitors, totalling 2.61. Gremio have won one of five recent matches (WLDDD), whilst Atletico Paranaense show more even form (DLWDW); both teams are hampered by injuries affecting key players.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 39%Gremio win
  • 28%Draw
  • 33%Atletico Paranaense win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

GremioGremio

Last 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Both teams scored in 8 of Gremio's last 10 home league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Atletico Paranaense's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

7 meetings: Gremio 3, draws 1, Atletico Paranaense 3

Goals: Gremio 9, Atletico Paranaense 8

DateMatchScore
3 May 2026Atletico Paranaense v Gremio0–0
4 Aug 2024Atletico Paranaense v Gremio0–2
17 Apr 2024Gremio v Atletico Paranaense2–0
18 Oct 2023Gremio v Atletico Paranaense1–2
27 May 2023Atletico Paranaense v Gremio1–2
26 Sep 2021Atletico Paranaense v Gremio4–2
13 Jun 2021Gremio v Atletico Paranaense0–1

Home and away

Gremio

Gremio at home

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostCruzeiro18 Oct 20262–4
  • DrawnInternacional11 Oct 20261–1
  • DrawnPalmeiras20 Sep 20260–0
  • LostVasco DA Gama12 Sep 20261–2
  • WonChapecoense-sc30 Aug 20263–1

Gremio: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
14 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnVitoria24 Oct 20261–1
  • WonChapecoense-sc12 Oct 20264–1
  • DrawnCoritiba12 Sep 20263–3
  • LostCruzeiro6 Sep 20261–3
  • WonBotafogo25 Aug 20263–2

Atletico Paranaense: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Gremio
Last match
4 days before26 Oct 2026 · v Coritiba · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
2 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Atletico-MG · Copa Do Brasil
Atletico Paranaense
Last match
6 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Vitoria · Serie A · Brazil
Next match
5 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Vasco DA Gama · Serie A · Brazil

Injuries and suspensions

  • GremioGremio
    Ruled out
    J. Cabral (Muscle Injury) · Danilo Barbosa (Injury) · Diego Caito (Muscle Injury) · J. Nardoni (Inactive) · C. Pavon (Muscle Injury)
  • Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
    Ruled out
    Claudinho (Knee Injury) · Gilberto (Yellow Cards) · Jadson (Yellow Cards) · C. Teran (Inactive)
    Doubtful
    Bruno Baldini (Injury) · K. Viveros (Inactive)

Published 29 Oct 2026, 23:27 GMT · not changed since

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